SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Technology Stocks : America On-Line (AOL) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: SLSUSMA who wrote (37844)1/18/2000 1:35:00 PM
From: JDN  Respond to of 41369
 
To all: Here is a little blurp that probably explains as well as anything why the market just cant yet get its hands around this merger and its benefits. JDN

Capital Market Comment
January 18, 2000
Volume 6, Number 3

AOL, Intel, and Greenspan
By Frank Mastrapasqua, Ph.D.

THE MERGER: Why, what does it mean, and how do we value the new enterprise? These were some of the questions that Wall Street was asking after the announced AOL-Time Warner merger. Analysts who scurried about trying to put together the revenue, cash flow, earning and P/E ratios came to the less than profound conclusion that revenue growth at the new enterprise will slow from that of the AOL alone pace. The media attempted to question the motivations of the major players in both organizations and emphasized the defensive nature of the combination. The issues of content and distribution became the focus of the moment. It will be some time before a more comprehensive understanding of this combination will be discerned. In fact, the major participants themselves may not have fully conceptualized the nature of the new enterprise. However, we can be assured that Wall Street will attempt to put the square in the circle. Consequently, uncertainty will persist, and the regulatory environment promises to add to the market's confusion.

The concept of joining content and distribution is likely to become one of the major investment themes for 2000. Over the ensuing months, the major participants in the Internet, telecommunications, media, and entertainment companies will be sorting out the most successful relationships that should be forged for the new environment. It is very unlikely that the Street will adequately comprehend, much less anticipate the nature of these relationships and the multiple benefits that will emerge in the broadband arena. Speed, creativity, vision, and perseverance promise to produce results that will not be apparent to many in the investment community until after the fact.



To: SLSUSMA who wrote (37844)1/18/2000 2:26:00 PM
From: Tecinvestor  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 41369
 
USMA, I remember, not too long ago, going through the same exercise when ATHM and Excite were merging. What I did then was to watch the spread (which varied from day to day) and moved back and forth between the stocks depending upon the spread. You may want to adopt a similar strategy, but it requires daily attention.

Bottom line, today it may be a better play to buy AOL and tomorrow it may be a better play to buy TWX. Take it a day at a time and don't make an irrevocable commitment one way or the other as to which is the better buy.

Good luck.

Tec