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Strategies & Market Trends : World Outlook -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Glenn Norman who wrote (723)2/4/2000 10:04:00 AM
From: Glenn Norman  Read Replies (7) | Respond to of 48927
 
Banking shares spark Latin American bourses
Banamex surges after Moody's gives nod to Mexico debt


By Tim Wilkins, LatinStocks.com
Last Update: 7:05 PM ET Feb 3, 2000 StockWatch
Telecom Report

NEW YORK (LatinStocks.com) -- Grupo Financiero Banamex-Accival SA led a rally of Mexican banks on optimism an upgrade of the country's sovereign debt may lead to a surge in capital inflows and demand for banking services.

Banamex, Mexico's largest bank gained 8 percent to 41.8 pesos, leading the bolsa index up 4.3 percent to 7,058.21. No. 2 bank Grupo Finananciero Bancomer SA (GFNSY: news, msgs) gained 6.1 percent to 3.8, and Monterrey-based Grupo Financiero Banorte SA gained 6 percent to 12.3.

Moody's Investors Service has put Mexico's on review for a potential upgrade to investment grade, which could lead to a boom of purchases of the country's debt by mutual and pension funds that are currently restricted from buying the securities. That will make it cheaper for companies to borrow and enhance banks' ability to lend.

"An investment grade for Mexico will help everybody, but especially the private sector," said Chip Brown, Latin American economist for Morgan Stanley Dean Witter. "It's going to raise corporate profits by cutting borrowing costs."

Brown has lowered his forecast for Mexico's interest rates in the wake of Moody's decision, and said the rating agency's action suggests an upgrade may come as soon as this year, well before the forecast of most analysts.

Mexico also said today it has revamped its rules for electronic stock trading, which could boost transaction volumes on the Internet stock services launched last week by Banamex and Bancomer.

In Brazil, banks also led gains on optimism the U.S. Federal Reserve's decision to boost its benchmark interest rate a quarter point to 5.75 percent will have a negligible effect on the country's outlook for growth and investment this year.

Banco Bradesco SA (BBQCY: news, msgs), the largest private bank, gained 4.2 percent to 14.9 reals, leading the Bovespa index up 3.5 percent to close at 17,457.12. while Banco do Estado de Sao Paulo SA rose 5.6 percent to 57.98.

Banespa is Brazil's best-performing stock this year, up 12 percent in dollar terms. The sale of the state-owned bank in May is expected to reap more than $3 billion for the government, as international banks including Banco Santander Central Hispano SA (STD: news, msgs), ABN Amro Bank NV (ABN: news, msgs) and Citigroup (C: news, msgs) jockey to carve a niche in Brazil's banking market, the largest in Latin America.

CA Nacional Telefonos de Venezuela (VNT: news, msgs) gained 3.3 percent to 25 1/2. The Venezuelan phone company posted a 0.5 percent increase in dollar revenue last year, even as the country weathered its worst recession in a decade and a rate freeze in the second half.

Electricidad de Caracas, the largest power company, rose 1.2 percent to 206 bolivars, even Venezuela's decision that all electric utilities must negotiate new rates increase cast doubt on the company's plans to raise its tariffs by 10 percent.

"Any undue increases in electricity rates will be eliminated," said Energy and Mines Minister Ali Rodriguez.

StarMedia Networks Inc. (STRM: news, msgs) rose 18.2 percent to 41 3/8 after the Latin American Internet company launched an instant messaging service that is compatible with ICQ, the online chat protocol owned by America Online (AOL: news, msgs) that is used by more than 35 million people worldwide. StarMedia also said it has purchased companies that produce guides to the Brazilian cities of Rio de Janeiro and Sao Paulo, and Medellin in Colombia. On Monday, Merrill Lynch upgraded shares to "buy", citing a bullish view on the region's Internet industry. See full story.

Transportadora de Gas del Sur SA (TGS: news, msgs) gained 6.9 percent to 8 3/4 after the Argentine gas pipeline operator said it has signed a $20 million deal with Pan American Energy and British Gas to build a gas pipeline to neighboring Uruguay. TGS is majority-owned by U.S. energy firm Enron [s ene] and Perez Companc SA (CNPZY: news, msgs).

Cifra SA (CFRCY: news, msgs), Mexico's largest retailer, gained 7.6 percent to 17.32 pesos on optimism the company's earnings surged in the fourth quarter as operating costs fell and Christmas promotions swelled sales. Cifra, which is majority owned by Wal-Mart Stores Inc. (WMT: news, msgs), operates more than 200 supermarkets, 200 restaurants and more than 50 department stores.

Globo Cabo SA (GLCBY: news, msgs), a Brazilian cable television operator, gained 4.4 percent to 23 7/8 after options of its U.S.-listed shares were listed in Chicago. The Sao Paulo Stock Exchange also plans to add Globo Cabo to its benchmark Bovespa index of Brazil's most-traded shares.

Telesp Celular Participacoes SA (TCP: news, msgs) rose 7.3 percent to 42 1/8 after the wireless phone company, a unit of Portugal Telecom SA, posted earnings that were one-half higher than analysts expected in the fourth quarter.

Vina Concha y Toro SA (VCO: news, msgs) gained 2.3 percent to 445 pesos after the Chilean winemaker's association said it expects export growth to more than quadruple this year, gaining 10 percent to around $580 million. Vina San Pedro SA gained 1.1 percent to 4.75.

El Sitio Inc. (LCTO: news, msgs) rose 0.9 percent to 21 1/4 after the company was reiterated with a "strong buy" by Credit Suisse First Boston analyst William Landers. Landers cited the company's strategic alliance with Impsat Fiber Inc. (IMPT: news, msgs) and focus on premium Internet services in Brazil as reasons he expects the company's shares to more than double to $55 this year.

"We believe the El Sitio's shares offer tremendous value at current levels," Landers said.



To: Glenn Norman who wrote (723)4/2/2001 12:59:55 PM
From: Don Green  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 48927
 
Yo_ BOT-M'bishi Sees Y150bn Net Loss On Bad-Loan Disposals

Tuesday, April 3, 2001

TOKYO (Nikkei)--Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi, a unit of Mitsubishi Tokyo Financial Group Inc. (8306), is poised to issue downward revisions to its fiscal 2000 earnings projections in order to reflect larger-than-expected disposals of bad loans, The Nihon Keizai Shimbun learned Monday.

BOT-Mitsubishi now expects to report a net loss of about 150 billion yen for the fiscal year ended Saturday, down from the 60 billion yen net profit forecast last autumn. It becomes the sixth major bank to signal that it will book a net loss in fiscal 2000, after Daiwa Bank (8319), Asahi Bank (8322) and the three banks of the UFJ Group. The net loss will be the city bank's first since fiscal 1997.

BOT-Mitsubishi will beef up its disposal of nonperforming loans to 550 billion yen, nearly double the 280 billion yen figure projected in the fall.

Meanwhile, Mitsubishi Trust & Banking Corp., another Mitsubishi Tokyo Financial Group unit, expects to report a net profit of about 20 billion yen, less than half its initial projection. Its disposal of bad loans will swell by 50% to 170 billion yen. The earnings downgrades are expected to be announced this week.

Both BOT-Mitsubishi and Mitsubishi Trust are seeing new nonperforming loans emerge as the earnings performance of their corporate borrowers deteriorates. The two banks are also tightening their loan assessment standards and adding to set-asides against potential loan losses in order to lay the groundwork for a final cleanup of nonperforming loans in fiscal 2001 and beyond.

The banks have already introduced fair value accounting standards for their portfolios of cross-shareholdings in fiscal 2000, one year before they are actually required to do so. As a result, they are holding off on selling shares in order to lock in gains that would offset losses from bad-loan disposals.

Despite the major earnings downgrades, the banks will not trim their planned dividend payouts of 8.5 yen for BOT-Mitsubishi and 7 yen for Mitsubishi Trust. BOT-Mitsubishi has retained earnings of roughly 1 trillion yen, while Mitsubishi Trust holds retained earnings of around 200 billion yen -- enough of a cushion to keep payouts unchanged, the banks believe.

The two banks have already returned all the public funds received under the government's recapitalization program, which means that they are no longer bound to earnings targets filed to apply for the program.

(The Nihon Keizai Shimbun Tuesday morning edition)