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To: manohar kanuri who wrote (1295)1/19/2000 8:29:00 AM
From: Poet  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 8096
 
Hi Manohar,

The only thing I can add to this talk of standard deviations is that 95%, not 99% of values fall within 1 SD. Now I'll go back to learning from you all. :)



To: manohar kanuri who wrote (1295)1/19/2000 3:52:00 PM
From: Tom K.  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 8096
 
...If volatility is 20% on a $50 stock your one std. dev. would be $20 (20% on both sides of the "mean" of 50, ie., 40 to 60)...

I believe your results are correct, however my understanding is that the one std. dev. would be $10 (20% of 50) on each side of the "mean". So the range for 2 std dev would be $20 on each side of the $50 mean to give a range of $30-70 with 96% probability of occurrence.

That's my limit of knowledge (and I peeked in the book).

Tom