To: SliderOnTheBlack who wrote (58743 ) 1/19/2000 8:08:00 PM From: Crimson Ghost Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 95453
FOCUS-OPEC hardline drives U.S. oil over $29 By Richard Mably NEW YORK, Jan 19 (Reuters) - Oil prices in the United States on Wednesday posted nine-year highs with no sign yet of respite from OPEC producers who are keeping a tight rein on exports. New York Mercantile Exchange light crude futures hit a peak of $29.68 a barrel, the highest oil price since January 1991 when allied warplanes were preparing to expel invading Iraqi troops from Kuwait. February crude finished up 69 cents at $29.54. Dealers said the recommendation from a number of OPEC ministers last week that the cartel extend output curbs beyond a scheduled end-March expiry remains the driving force behind the price rise. ``These countries are openly saying that they want to keep the oil supply-demand balance tight,' said Mike Rothman of Merrill Lynch. ``The Saudis are signalling that they want to defend oil at $25 a barrel.' George Beranek of Petroleum Finance in Washington added: ``OPEC has done a very good job in convincing the world that it is serious about keeping oil cuts in place. That's what has got the hedge funds excited on NYMEX.' Saudi Arabian Oil Minister Ali al-Naimi, OPEC's most influential policy maker, said last week that he was content with market conditions and could see no reason to change production policy for the remainder of 2000. Other producers have suggested extending current export curbs to September. OPEC is scheduled to decide policy at a meeting in Vienna on March 27. Added impetus for prices came from a severe cold spell in the northeastern United States, the world's largest market for heating oil. NYMEX heating oil has jumped 24 percent, 15 cents a gallon, in just eight days, closing at 80.03 cents a gallon on Wednesday just below a peak of 80.30 cents -- also the highest in nine years. OPEC's agreement of March 1999 removing 4.3 million barrels a day from the 75 million bpd world market has already left world petroleum inventories perilously close to historic lows. The American Petroleum Institute said on Wednesday that U.S. crude stocks fell nearly 13 percent during 1999 to end the year at the 30-year low set at end-1996. Commercial crude stocks fell 30 million barrels to 293 million barrels during the year and heating oil and diesel inventories slipped 31 million to 125 million barrels. But the API said U.S. heating oil stocks were adequate for the remainder of the winter. ``I would say we're in good shape,' said Ronald Planting, manager of information and analysis at the API's statistics department. Nevertheless, concerns are rising that OPEC's intent to keep the heat under oil prices to maximize export revenues could have an adverse impact on world economic growth. ``There seems to be only one source of inflation at the moment in the U.S. and that's energy,' said Beranek of Petroleum Finance. ``That's bound to generate some political pressure.' ``Oil prices over $30 a barrel would start to have ramifications for the world economy and OPEC is well aware of those concerns,' said Rothman of Merrill Lynch. U.S. Energy Secretary Bill Richardson is due to meet oil ministers from OPEC states Saudi Arabia, Kuwait and Venezuela during the Davos economic summit in Switzerland at the end of January. Richardson's office said on Tuesday that he remained concerned about the cost of oil but believes market forces must set prices. That leaves little prospect of any release from Washington's huge hoard of inventory held in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve. OPEC's Venezuela, one of the largest suppliers to the United States, has already sounded a note of caution. Venezuelan Oil Minister Ali Rodriguez said on Monday that in his opinion the production limits would not be retained until year's end although he could not rule out the possibility.