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Pastimes : The Justa & Lars Honors Bob Brinker Investment Club -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Investor2 who wrote (11374)1/21/2000 7:55:00 PM
From: sea_biscuit  Respond to of 15132
 
On this, I will have to side with Brinker. There is no way that one can guarantee that you will exit at the very top. Think of 1929 or even 1987. Don't you think that people who got out in time would have been happy that they did? I am sure that they would certainly not have complained that they didn't ride it all the way to the top.

What remains to be seen, though, is whether this "get out" and (later) "get back in" exercise proves fruitful. That is something that will be revealed in the fullness of time. But I continue to be skeptical of whether it can be done.



To: Investor2 who wrote (11374)1/21/2000 8:37:00 PM
From: E_K_S  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 15132
 
Investor 2 - Good spread sheet. You might also want to include the Vanguard GNMA price and change over this period. I have parked my money in the GNMA fund rather than using the straight money market.

Here are the changes for 1/19/00
Symbol___Close___Change___%_Change
VFIIX____9.74____+0.01_____+0.1%

Chart
bigcharts.com

Also, you might want to show the current price and % change of the Russel 2000. Perhaps the Vanguard 5000 index fund might represent "the market" better. Both Russel & Vanguard indexes are hitting new highs.

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It will be interesting to see how your spread sheet changes appear each week or month until Brinker gives a new call.

EKS