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To: Bill F. who wrote (74248)1/22/2000 2:22:00 AM
From: Skeeter Bug  Respond to of 132070
 
hey, you're that guy that does financial analysis, huh? how passé...

al g's a ho, al g's a ho... just go wit da mo mo...

to the tune of "i'm a ho" by whodini... ;-)



To: Bill F. who wrote (74248)1/22/2000 2:29:00 AM
From: Skeeter Bug  Respond to of 132070
 
a little financial commentary... see bottom of "report"

earnings estimates go from 91 cents to 96 cents (6%) yet the stock price "target" goes from $45 to $65 (45%). say what? only in a bubble...

>>Salomon Smith Barney
January 19, 2000

SUMMARY:

* Xilinx reported EPS of $0.20. Excluding better minority interest income, EPS were
in-line with Street consensus and our $0.19 estimate.

* Sales of $264.3 million rose 10.7% sequentially and 54% from a year ago, slightly
better than our 10% sequential estimate.

* Xilinx reported solid results for the December quarter. Although the company
acknowledged some inventory issues at selected customer accounts, overall results
were in-line with expectations. Order trends and design win activity provide a very
upbeat outlook for calendar 2000. Xilinx management maintained sales guidance for the
March 2000 quarter and raised expectations for fiscal 2001.

* Bookings increased; raising estimates. Backlog and bookings rose in the quarter, and
'turns' business (i.e., orders that were received and shipped within the quarter)
accounted for 50% of sales. The company expects a similar 'turns' hurdle for the March
quarter, which is respectably toward the low end of the historical 50-60% range (i.e.,
low turns denotes better visibility). Management accordingly maintained its sequential
growth guidance of 7% for March, which was what most analysts had modeled and
slightly better than our earlier 6% assumption. As a result, we are raising our March
quarter EPS estimate slightly from $0.20 to $0.21, and fiscal 2000 (March-ending)
from $0.71 to $0.72. Management also indicated that sales growth in the 35-40% range
was likely for fiscal 2001, significantly better than our earlier assumption of 30%. We
believe this optimism is warranted given the strength of the PLD market and Xilinx's
leadership position. As a result, we are raising our fiscal 2001 EPS estimate from $0.91
to $0.96. Our calendar 2000 EPS estimate is increased from $0.87 to $0.91, and
calendar 2001 from $1.05 to $1.12.

* Based on stronger revenue assumptions, we are raising our EPS estimate for fiscal
2001 from $0.91 to $0.96. We are boosting our price target from $45 to $65. <<



To: Bill F. who wrote (74248)1/22/2000 3:19:00 PM
From: Knighty Tin  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 132070
 
Bill, Also, it is not like you have to be a very sophisticated accounting sharpster to fool the analyst, as they want to be fooled, anyway. <g>