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Technology Stocks : METRICOM - Wireless Data Communications -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Clarksterh who wrote (2025)1/25/2000 1:01:00 AM
From: Gus  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 3376
 
Hello Clark, MCOM has major time to market advantages that allows it to go after the significant road warrior (with laptops) population of Corporate America. The consumer market is a bonus. Laptop + modem card = graceful change of human behavior that characterizes successful technology products.

But you'll have to trust that I know what I am talking about when I say that satellites will never be competitive with terrestrial systems in areas with lots of users (of whatever service is being talked about) per square mile

Trust and verify you mean? All one has to do is hook up to a search engine and look up "MIT and Oxygen" or go to the Akamai.com web site to get up to speed on what the hell I'm talking about.

Qualcomm will be building W-CDMA ASICs regardless of the flavor. Of course they have to settle on a W-CDMA standard first, and then test it, but when they do I guarantee Qualcomm will be making ASICs. I do agree that their market share will almost certainly be smaller than for CDMA-2000, but neither is it likely to be inconsequential.

The question is who will buy 3g WCDMA chipsets outside of the known CDMA territories? NTT DoCoMO and Nokia both have 3g WCDMA trials in Japan and Europe. Both said thanks but no thanks.

I concede that there will be a tendency, not driven by technological need but by supplier habit, to go from GSM to W-CDMA instead of CDMA-2000.

Habit? LOL What will it take for you to concede that GSM to WCDMA makes superior economic sense given the massive economies of scale accumulating daily? You want to go into how each handset transaction is being turned into a series of transaction that turns into long-term relationships. Global branding! Classic example: Honda. From bicycles to luxury cars over decades.

Given that currently whichever flavor of CDMA is used, they will still owe Qualcomm the same royalties (a done deal with several big telecom companies), how does this matter?

Wait for the conference call to get confirmation from QCOM that the question of 3g royalties is in limbo because of its opposition to the 3g Patent Platform and the implied freedom to pick and choose component CDMA technologies.

Where we basically disagree, I think, is that you depend heavily on the QCOM spin that they are the most experienced manufacturer of CDMA chipsets ergo they are the only source of CDMA technology. Nice PR, very successful too in terms of 10% market share, stock price, but the intensifying nature of the invention process, the availability of new materials that introduces new variables into the chipset design process and the real world events that are unfolding on an almost daily basis tells you otherwise, if you care to cast an objective eye at the symbiotic relationship between manufacturers and carriers.