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Gold/Mining/Energy : Pinetree Capital-PNP-CDNX -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: New Economy who wrote (138)2/1/2000 5:21:00 PM
From: New Economy  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 233
 
Recent Deals in the Fiber Optic Industry
(I know, I know old news)
During past week, two emerging companies that operate in the
fiberoptic space, have been acquired by industry leaders, Nortel
Networks and JDS-Uniphase. Oprel Technologies, an Ontario-based
developer of erbium-doped fiber amplifiers (EDFAs) and other
optoelectronic devices, was acquired by JDS-Uniphase for an undisclosed
price. Nortel announced the acquisition of Qtera Corporation today for
a total price of US$3.25 billion in stock. Qtera makes equipment that
allows a photonic signal to be transmitted over large distances without
having to be converted to an electronic signal for re-transmission.
This could potentially reduce the need for opto-electronic amplifiers
and speed up the transmission of data over a fiber optic network. Qtera
will not have products until sometime in 2000.

What this means for Lumenon - We are quickly entering a second wave of
optical component manufacturing. This second wave involves the
production of inexpensive optical components (Waveguides, Amplifiers,
Lasers, etc.) needed for entry into the Metro and Access fiberoptic
network markets. The bottleneck for expansion into these markets, is
the lack of availability of inexpensive optical components that
increase the efficiency of existing networks. The industry is betting
that this bottleneck will be relieved by technologies from innovative
companies, such as Lumenon.

Update on Operations

Lumenon is in an enviable position, in that its optical waveguide
product is close to becoming commercialized - through Molex (MOLX:
NASDAQ) - and sold to OEMs internationally. The Company, along with
Molex, continues to test the packaged optical chip, and is on track for
production of the chips by spring 2000. There is no reason to believe
that testing of the package will not be successful, and the Company is
confident that the packaged product will be ready to be unveiled at the
OFC'00 (Optical Fiber Communication Conference 2000) in Baltimore, MD
on March 3-10, 2000.

Financing and expansion - Molex recently has committed to investing an
additional US$3 million in the Company - representing 129,707 shares at
US$23.19 per share and approximately 65,000 warrants, exercisable at
125 % of this price - as part of a US$20 million equity financing
required to fund its previously-announced expansion plans (the location
of the new facility is very close to being finalized - and will be
located close to the Company's existing facility in Dorval, Quebec, and
with approximately 30,000 square feet in size).

The investment itself is not as important as Molex's decision to not be
diluted in the current round of financing. We view this as a very
favorable development in that it indicates Molex's continued confidence
in Lumenon and the progress of the product's testing phase. We believe
that investors should take advantage of any opportunity to buy LUMM at
levels at or below the price Molex recently paid in the current round
of financing.

Nasdaq Listing - The Company expects to receive full Nasdaq (National
Market) listing by the middle of January 2000. This may create
additional volatility in the stock price.

Conclusion

We believe that LUMM stock is undervalued at current levels and that
this represents an attractive buying opportunity for investors. The
fundamentals of the Company, in our opinion, have not changed since our
recent report (November 12, 1999). The Annual General Meeting, held on
December 7, 1999, exposed the Company to a broader investor base. In
addition, there was speculation on a takeover possibility as a result
of the indirect association with Cisco Systems (CSCO: NASDAQ), through
the participation of Dr. Jacek Chrostowski, Technology Program Manager
in the Optical Internetworking Business Unit at Cisco Systems Inc.
(Lumenon's Technical Advisory Committee) and, most recently, the
appointment of Pierre-Paul Allard, General Manager, Cisco Systems
Canada to Lumenon's Board of Directors.

Bottom Line - Lumenon continues to be well positioned for rapid growth
in photonic chip design and manufacturing, due to their early entry
into this large and growing market, their proprietary technologies, as
well as their packaging and distribution relationship with Molex. We
are maintaining our Speculative BUY recommendation on Lumenon, with a
12-18 month target price of US$29.00.

An investment in LUMM is particularly suited for investors with
above-average risk tolerance, who are seeking a potential for capital
appreciation and who have diversified investment portfolios.

The information contained within has been obtained from sources which
we believe to be reliable, but we cannot guarantee their accuracy or
completeness. This report is not, and under no circumstances is to be
construed as, an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy
any securities. This report is furnished on the basis and understanding
that GroomeCapital.com Inc. is to be under no responsibility or
liability whatsoever in respect thereof. The inventories of
GroomeCapital.com Inc. and the holdings of its respective Directors and
Officers may, from time to time, include the securities mentioned
herein. No part of this report may be copied or reproduced in any
manner without the prior written consent of GroomeCapital.com Inc.