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Technology Stocks : JDS Uniphase (JDSU) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Hank Stamper who wrote (5424)1/27/2000 7:11:00 PM
From: t2  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 24042
 
David, In the near term, it looks like you made a great move getting out of the stock. However, over a 2 month time horizon, it remains to be seen whether your move was the correct one. We know how explosive this stock is. I would expect some sort of major rally starting mid February at the latest (unless we get that S and P thing by chance). The actual approval of the increase in shares on Feb 25 will generate a press release like it did last fall---the stock took off on that "news".

There are a lot of believers in this company that have taken profits (like KENT). Surely, you, Kent, and others will not be able to resist buying back in. It is just our nature to get back into companies that have a "bright" future.
I have sold stocks that i really believed in, only to buy back at higher prices. This fear of missing out on the next big move in JDSU will result in a lot of buying by the same people that sold.

Only when it disappoints (the way Dell of the past OR the current QCOM) will this stock lose its lustre. For now, management cannot contain themselves talking about their business.
For this reason, i believe we headed for much higher levels, even in the short term (2 to 3 months).

I still believe QCOM scared a lot of JDSU investors and that is a good thing for this stock going forward.



To: Hank Stamper who wrote (5424)1/27/2000 8:10:00 PM
From: Kent Rattey  Respond to of 24042
 
What factors lead you to go to so much cash?

Well, I have been experiencing some really dramatic swings in the portfolio. QCOM got destroyed over great earnings and normal seasonality. LU been hammered and now its NT's turn. The expectations are too high, the Naz is tired, and were fighting the Fed. At least once a year you can't give tech away. When that happens, I'll load the boat with all the QCOM and JDSU I can handle.
Good Luck and I'll be back,
Kent
PS: Spare me the: "You'll be back at higher prices" <vbg>