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To: Jimbo who wrote (1838)1/28/2000 6:57:00 AM
From: edamo  Respond to of 8096
 
jimbo...re: "uncertainty"

one must make decisions when taking any position. basic fundamentals and technicals of the underlying issue are primary. secondary is any psychological effect that an external force may cause. if the effect is due to a reaction that has no basis in fact, then the effect is shortlived and you get what you called a knee jerk reaction.

if we had inflation, i would be more cautious. strong economy in place, fear causes volatility, but tremendous liquidity causes cash inflow on dips. bonds in a low inflation economy are not the flight to safety, investors know this. should the economy deflate or inflate, i would take a different posture. for now, i assume a risk and require a reward in line with the risk. in today's market three weeks is an eternity. in the case of broadcom, it may go lower, but probability it will go higher. my assumption is that it will settle by february expiration above 249 (260strike-11premium) should it run to 330 prior, as it has the ability to do, i would take profits as the premium erodes. put selling requires a certain amount of skill, and understanding of the short term momentum of the underlying. i stated that i may be early with brcm, but it appears ready to turn short term, providing no specific or market negative news.

thanks...ed a.