To: Dr. David Gleitman who wrote (65235 ) 1/30/2000 8:08:00 AM From: Lipko Respond to of 152472
David - what does seem new this time is the incredible expansion this economy has been going through this decade leading to the tightening labor markets. When I studied economics (an early edition of Samuelson), unemployment rates this low could not be fathomed without serious disruption to the economy. From our perspective, the worst problem is our restrictive immigration policy prohibiting sufficient engineers entry into the US. We should be speaking to our representatives about this. Otherwise, cycles have always been just that, and, except for the 30's, have been relatively short. I am constantly amazed that in the world of economics, good means bad and vice versa. We have the strongest economy is history, turning out the best leading edge tech ever (I only wish Q's would really move to the fore - on a p.e. basis going forward, we seem to be pretty even with NOK and ERICY - where would you rather be?), and we just may have to wait it out. On October 8, 1999, we closed pre-split at 213.9375. We have a double since then. Would you have taken it 4 months ago? We are in Q for the forward story. With HDR, CDMA in laptops by Christmas, GPS in phones, Palms, CE devices, Cars, Globalstar, who knows what else, maybe we just sit on our hands for awhile. I will be in Anarctica with my family on March 7, otherwise in San Diego for the first time. Q has been very good to us this year enabling sales of other things to support adventure traveling. At 56 I'm a patient man - just got carried away too quickly last year on the coattails of the best stock I have ever seen. I think its future is still out there. Best, hang on through the rough periods, they are not over yet, John