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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Crimson Ghost who wrote (38618)1/30/2000 4:10:00 PM
From: pater tenebrarum  Respond to of 99985
 
i also expect 25 bp.'s. bubble boy is a 'gradualist' ever since his aggressive rate hikes during '87 contributed to that particular debacle.



To: Crimson Ghost who wrote (38618)1/31/2000 2:01:00 AM
From: Jacob Snyder  Respond to of 99985
 
re: FOMC to hike rates by 25 bp, not 50 bp.

The history of the Fed is .25 point changes, except in a crisis. We are not in a crisis now. So, after the 1/4 point hike on tuesday, the market will have a relief rally. Then, 3 hours later, they'll go back to worrying about the next (5th) Fed hike.

Or, maybe next tuesday the Fed will raise by 3/4 of a point, raise margin limits, announce they will be draining liquidity "from now till after the election", and say, "let's do it all today and get the pain over with". :)