Silicon Investor (SI) -- The First Internet Community

STOCKTALK

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor. We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community. If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.

Politics : Formerly About Applied Materials -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Guy Gordon who wrote (33940)	2/1/2000 9:12:00 AM
From: Lone Star	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 70976

Guy, GUY, Guy, you newbie you. The REAL longs here, we're talking about long trend lines. For example, since I know the number off the top of my head, from '86 to '96 the average rate of return was ~40% ( CAGR). There was a lot of volatility in those years ( I seem to recall '87 being fun ) but through thick and thin an average of 40% for someone who had the stock in the vault. Now 40% compounded over 10 years will buy you a lot of sushi. AMAT has grown, so 40% is not to be expected I believe since '96 its more like 30-something, but relatively risk free ( I said RELATIVELY!!). Go ahead and try to time the market if you like, but its a mugs game.