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Politics : Ask Michael Burke -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Peter Church who wrote (75256)2/5/2000 12:04:00 PM
From: Don Lloyd  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 132070
 
Peter -

[[Do you have any insight regarding this situation:

Yesterday I bought YHOO March 360 puts at 30.5 while YHOO was at 362.
Four hours later YHOO was at 353.5 and the puts were selling for only 35:

Puts Stock
30.5 362
35 353.5
---------------
Gain 4.5 -8.5


I would have expected better correspondence. What gives?]]

Your expectations don't match the reality of option pricing.
In particular, you need to read an option primer on option 'Delta'. Only if an option is deep
in the money does an option price tend to track the stock price dollar for dollar even in
the case where implied volatility is held constant.
In the limit as the stock price moves to make the option very deep
in the money, the 'Delta' of an option price approaches a value of 1 (dollar for dollar tracking
with stock price).
For all other cases, the option price will move less than the stock, everything else being equal.
In your case of an at the money option, the expected 'Delta' value would be normally be about .5
and the expected change in option price would be 4.25, not too far from what you observed.

Regards, Don




To: Peter Church who wrote (75256)2/5/2000 12:06:00 PM
From: Skeeter Bug  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 132070
 
peter, yahoo was down about 2% and your options were up over 10%. direct correlation doesn't occur until you are deep in the money. i've seen stocks drop 10% in a day and the put options not budge. of course, i think that is b/c the company leaked earnings and folks took their position in advance.



To: Peter Church who wrote (75256)2/5/2000 12:42:00 PM
From: Knighty Tin  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 132070
 
Peter, That really isn't so unusual. Once a put or a call go in the money, they start giving up pure premium quickly as the intrinsic value weighs them down. Basically, option buyers want to make a lot with a little, so the in the money part is anathema to them and they would rather pay up for the 350s than carry the 6 1/2 points of dead weight.