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Technology Stocks : The New Qualcomm - a S&P500 company -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Boplicity who wrote (6304)2/6/2000 10:32:00 PM
From: Theophile  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 13582
 
Gregory, you are correct, I have offended the thread by requesting documentation of the posts. My apologies to all.
I am more inclined to follow traditional vetting of issues by being able to verify source and date of source materials used in a post by a board member. I had not realized the S&P thread has evolved along a different path. I have only been gone a few weeks, and was amazed at the difference in the thread, and substance of the posts. My appreciation for your understanding, I will not trouble the thread with my perspectives. Again, my apologies to all.
Martin Thomas



To: Boplicity who wrote (6304)2/7/2000 12:22:00 AM
From: Mike Buckley  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 13582
 
It's going to take longer then most here believe.

Greg,

Relative to that, I have three observations:

1) Most personal possessions cost 1 1/2 to two times what I expect;

2) Most projects take three times as long to complete as I expect; and

3) Virtually all technologies take four times as long to achieve mass adoption as I believe will be needed, except for those I invest in. They take five times as long. :)

--Mike Buckley



To: Boplicity who wrote (6304)2/7/2000 12:48:00 AM
From: Valueman  Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 13582
 
Greg:

"It's going to take longer then most here believe"

I think the exact opposite is true. It is going to take less time than most here believe. The bits of evidence are everywhere that 1XRTT deployment is coming to a CDMA system near you soon. It starts with PrimeCo, followed closely by BAM/Airtouch/GTE. Sprint PCS does the same, just to stay competitive. They start new buildouts with 1XRTT, while VodaBAM is upgrading like crazy in a mad rush to higher data speeds. Their one rate plan coupled with awesome nationwide coverage and CDMA quality draws subs like moths to a flame. Huge demands on capacity accelerate the need for 1XRTT's capacity-doubling abilities. Handset vendors scramble to deliver 1XRTT models. It's a snowball. Note I haven't even mentioned the home wireless data sub yet. He comes later, after the buildout further accelerates.

When does this happen? It's happening. Lucent will be installing 1XRTT equipment mid year here in the US is my bet. Handset vendors MUST be working on 1XRTT models NOW. That has profound implications for Q's ASIC business. They have said the MSM5000 is sampling NOW. They also stated that they are supplying CSMs to ALL 1XRTT infrastructure suppliers. Will any sane handset maker use any other ASIC than the MSM5000? Will any operator offer models that are NOT 1XRTT ready? Why should they? It all seems so clear to me.

So, you say trend till third quarter. I say much news to come long before that. Stay tuned!