To: nihil who wrote (27318 ) 2/7/2000 10:15:00 AM From: High-Tech East Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 64865
nihil - thanks for the comments - and also the lecture <ggggg><<I am an economist who has made a modest bundle by trading on tech stocks>> ..... great, congratulations ___________________________________________________________<<I don't think anyone who has invested and held in the major tech stocks over the past ten years has been disappointed, or they have been fantastically unlucky and ill-timed. But there are millions who invested in non-tech stocks who have been slammed>> ..... I agree with that ___________________________________________________________<<I am willing to predict that most major tech stocks will continue to grow in the coming decades because they invent and sell productivity increasing products, serve new markets, and lower cost of production in many non-tech companies.>> ..... I agree with that ___________________________________________________________<<I am willing to predict that non-tech stocks on the average will not grow nearly as much (and maybe not all all) because their markets are more nearly saturated and most of them will need to cut their costs to compete. New techs will have to have some technology that makes them more efficient than the big boys to thrive (and be taken over).>> ..... I agree with that ___________________________________________________________<<For the individual investors, persistence and patience is required. In good times one needs to take profits and cut back on margin and build some cash to buy on pullbacks.>> ..... I very much agree on taking some profits and building some cash in good times ____________________________________________________________<<In bad times there is a need to avoid panicking and selling out.>> ..... I agree with that ____________________________________________________________ <<Few will have the strength to survive one or two years of depression. ..... I agree with that ____________________________________________________________<<But if there anything that we can know it is that tech stocks will prevail -- not all of them of course -- and the course will not be steadily up.>> ..... I agree with that ____________________________________________________________<<Calm down>> ..... nihil, believe me I am calm ... so calm that I am going to sit back and watch SUNW's price probably move toward 90 this week, when I could probably trade it again for 7 more points ... I continue here in cash and a large position in a biotech, whose stock price is largely disconnected from general market conditions. ___________________________________________________________<<Everything may be okay.>> .... I agree with that also, but the key word is may . .... I am more on the side that says, "Everything may be not be okay. ___________________________________________________________ Ken Wilson PS - nihil, you are an interesting economist for there is no indication of any kind, in your post, where I could tell that you even glanced at the "Business Week" article I posted. Please read it and respond again. Thanks.