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Technology Stocks : Qualcomm Incorporated (QCOM) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Kayaker who wrote (66167)2/7/2000 12:28:00 PM
From: Skeeter Bug  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 152472
 
>>Let me see now... a t-bill growing at 6.5% per year will outperform a company growing its EPS at 50% a year. Huh?<<

the math is exceedingly simple.

let's assume qcom's market cap is $100 B for ease of calculation. let's also assume a HUGE IRA account - again for ease calculation.

the first year the tbill earns $6.5 B and qcom earns $750 M. next, multiply $106.5 B by 1.065 and $750 M by 1.50 for year two.

after two years the tbill is already up by over $10,000,000,000.

including tax consequences for the t-bill and giving qcom a market cap of $80-90 B instead of $100 B will close the gap somewhat.

but, the growth assumption are extremely aggressive as denoted by qcom's apparent choice to manipulate inventories to "make" this q's number and HOPE next q does better. in addition, this assumes another company doesn't unseat qcom and make them obsolete - the question really is when, not if. oh, and the t-bill money is GUARANTEED - even during a recession or re-valuation of the bubble market.