To: Mark Oliver who wrote (7938 ) 2/8/2000 3:23:00 PM From: equityanalyst Respond to of 10081
Hi, Mark -- Back to your post #7886 and comment, "Interesting to see that there hasn't been a legion of short sellers coming in and proclaiming doom and gloom..." With tongue only slightly pressed in cheek, I think the reason for this is that they are quickly figuring out that they're fighting a losing battle in view of everything that's going on with GMGC -- company-wise, industry-wise and stock-wise. A (small) portion of the recent up-move is no doubt short-covering, but there's probably new shorting coming in at the increasingly higher price levels. That's just fine,though, 'cause it gives the stock nice underlying support and could be the added fuel for even stronger price action in the near term as the shorts get religion and are converted into Believers. I just did a quick scan of a wide variety of stocks of companies in the high-tech, bio-tech, genomics, fuel-cell and Internet industries, i.e., high-priced stocks which have generally had huge up-moves recently, and hence are among the most likely candidates to be attracting a lot of skeptics, shortsellers, etc. Plus, many of these companies are obviously very speculative, with little or no track record, untested/unproven products and/or services, although many appear to have lots of potential. Among the highest short positions I came across were stocks like HGSI, YHOO, NTOP, TGLO, VRIO and CMGI at about 6% of common shares outstanding; CNET and CPTH at 7%; IVIL and VERT at 8%; AMZN at 9%; LHSP and DCLK at 10%; CSCO at 12%; AMGN at 13%; COOL at 15%; UBID at 17%; and SCMR at 18%. The typical short interest ratio for the total list of these "hot" stocks (numbering about 70) was in the 1%-3% area of total shares outstanding. In GMGC's case, the latest short position equates to an extremely high 20% of shares outstanding (and, of course, a much higher percentage of the "float"). So with all those increasingly nervous non-believers sitting out there, further good news could really ignite the stock. One can only hope. ea