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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Haim R. Branisteanu who wrote (39472)2/9/2000 1:24:00 AM
From: pater tenebrarum  Respond to of 99985
 
Haim, all correct, but these divergent internals have been with us for so long...they're just not useful for timing purposes. the rules have to a certain degree been suspended by the explosion in the money supply. however, the divergences have worsened considerably. just to give an example: in April of '99 over 60% of NYSE stocks and over 90% of the stocks comprising the OEX were above their 200-dma. now we're looking at only 27% of NYSE stocks and 34% of OEX stocks...there's a whole litany of divergences in fact, but this is one of the more glaring ones.
it may explain why index put dollar volume is so low...the indices are simply not a useful hedging instrument for the AVERAGE portfolio anymore, since obviously the majority of stocks is in a bear market, while the constantly re-weighted and re-jiggled indices are not.

regards,

hb