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To: AJ Berger who wrote (319)2/10/2000 1:21:00 PM
From: AJ Berger  Respond to of 553
 
MicroSoft vs RealNetworks over CODEC

could ONT be MSFT's Trojan Horse?

boardwatch.com

HOW MICROSOFT CAN RULE THE (STREAMING) WORLD

If Microsoft wants to break Real's grip on the streaming server, all it would take is one software
port, by moving the Windows Media Technology server to Linux and leaving the source code out
there for easy porting.

Stop laughing! I'm serious.

Unfortunately, Microsoft believes in the One True OS of NT, and Linux is the devil's spawn. Since
most ISP operations people believe NT is the devil's spawn and prefer to use an open version of
Unix or Solaris because it's the tool they know, Microsoft has some serious issues if it expects
Windows Media Technology to proliferate further.

But maybe Microsoft doesn't have to do something that radical. After all, both Akamai and
Sandpiper, the two leaders in terrestrial edge content distribution, are supporting NT distribution;
Akamai got a lump of cash and business to boot. Microsoft also has a large posse of companies
supporting Windows Media Technology through the Broadband Jumpstart Initiative. In theory,
Microsoft and Real could play their game of positional chess for any number of years, with Real's
market share slowly being eroded in the streaming market.

Assuming Microsoft doesn't end this game quickly with a Linux/Open Source port, what can Real
do to prevent attrition? Microsoft can crank another “Jumpstart Initiative” every six months or so to
continue to wear away at Real's market share, so Real will eventually have to do something.
Dropping its price on Real licenses and doing away with the demands for a percentage of revenue on
broadcasts would be a good start.

Alternatively, Real could decide to cut expenses and get out of the back end (i.e. infrastructure) of
the broadcast network business, since Akamai and Sandpiper have networks that will be capable of
carrying their traffic. Real can stay in the portal business and continue to derive revenues without the
headaches of running infrastructure.