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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Haim R. Branisteanu who wrote (39919)	2/12/2000 8:10:00 AM
From: donald sew	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 99985

Hi Haim, As a general comment, I agree with you. Please keep in mind that post was specificly in reference to the 3 PEAK and DOME, and not for general discussion. Jerry FAVORS uses mainly the DOW when he talks about the 3 PEAKs and DOME, and I believe that per the text book, the DOME peaks in APRIL/MAY, which I also believe is when Jerry Favors feels thats when the market could top out. I was saying that I could make an arguement that the DOME may have already peak in early/mid JAN, when the SPX hit its high. To support that, I made the comparison of the NAZ and DOW to show that the DOW the combination of the DOW and NAZ showed a peak in mid-jan of about 14000. That 14000 number is meaningless, except to show that there was a more significant rise when compared to the DOW by itself. Thus the DOME was actually formed in mid JAN. I fully agree that indices can be misleading, however my previous post was specificly directed towards the 3 PEAKS and DOME and nothing else. Nice talking to ya again Haim. seeya

To: Haim R. Branisteanu who wrote (39919)	2/12/2000 10:29:00 AM
From: Casaubon	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 99985

Haim, Again, an astute observation. I know for a fact, many employees are counting on those carrots, ISO's, given out to entice talented workers. I would say, based on my own experience, that the expectation of future remuneration, in the form of ISO's, is at least 20% of total compensation. The ubiquitous nature of ISO's will result in a more severe slowdown, of the economy, than most anticipate. This could cause a cycical recession as more and more options begin to expire worthless, unless companies roll those options benefits out to longer timeframes as they expire. But, even under those circumstances people will become bitter and begin to demand cash over promises.