To: Poet who wrote (2817 ) 2/12/2000 12:29:00 PM From: PAL Respond to of 8096
Poet: Yes, I'd love to hear your thoughts on choosing the month of expiry.. I'd chosen to sell March puts because they seemed to be "juicier" and bought March calls because we were close to Feb expiry and I was concerned about the ramping up of time decay. Am I on the right track? Yes you are on the right track. Your moves are close to that of a very experienced option trader. See my post to Jill about using just a portion of put proceed to buy call. As far as choosing the month of expiry, it comes down to your other field of expertise: psychology. Let us compare: A:- sell feb200 put at around 5 (as it turns out ed already has sizable short positions for march puts, this additional feb puts are just some crumbs: his moves are uncanny and as smart as a fox!!) B:- sell mar200 put around 18. Person who chooses A expects that that next week he/she can laugh heh heh heh , the option expires worthless, i win, i thank that poor guy who bought my put. there is something about winning: it boosts once's ego, and fulfills one of human needs (maslow(?)). Choosing B: observing the decay rate, march option will probably drop more than $ 5 next Friday conditio sine quanon. this person will not say heh heh heh , yet makes more money that if A was chosen. Like the old adage: you can have the heh heh heh , but let me have the more money. The above is if things works out for Just Don't Sell Us, i.e. if the stock remains above 200. How about if the stock heads south. Well, A has 2 choices: be assigned, cover the option while B can have 3 choices, the third one being : do nothing, still one more month to go. As for being assigned next week: one can rationalize: well I got at a good discount $ 195 ($ 200 minus premium). What if next week jdsu is at $ 170, that good discount does not look good anymore. One main thing I don't like of purchasing stock as a result of an assignment is that you don't control when you buy the stock (it is dictated by the option holder), and the discounted price (i.e. after premium) is more of than not is higher than the prevailing market price. I prefer to buy when I want to buy and pay the price I want to pay based on what the price at that time. Paul