SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Strategies & Market Trends : Gorilla and King Portfolio Candidates -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: unclewest who wrote (17835)2/13/2000 12:08:00 PM
From: Uncle Frank  Respond to of 54805
 
>> several of us do believe that gmst's growth will be exponential and geometrical....whatever that means

It means a lot of wealth creation in which, thanks to you and Merlin, most of the G&K gang will have a share.

uf



To: unclewest who wrote (17835)2/13/2000 6:37:00 PM
From: Percival 917  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 54805
 
Thanks unclewest,

All I can say is to echo UnGle FranQ's comment:

It means a lot of wealth creation in which, thanks to you and Merlin, most of the G&K gang will have a share.

I might add that after GMST and CREE what are you going to do for an encore? You are going to have your work cut out to top these two.<vbg>

Thanks,
Joel



To: unclewest who wrote (17835)2/13/2000 9:18:00 PM
From: Mathemagician  Respond to of 54805
 
several of us do believe that gmst's growth will be exponential and geometrical....whatever that means


Well, this looks like a case for Mathemagician!

There are, in essence, two types of growth: Arithmetic and Geometric. Geometric is sometimes (quite correctly) referred to as Exponential. Here's the difference.

1. Arithmetic - Arithmetic growth comes from adding a fixed quantity after each fixed unit of time passes.

2. Geometric - Geometric growth comes from multiplying a fixed quantity after each fixed unit of time passes.

Let's compare. Pretend GMST is starting with $0 revenues. The first column will contain the quarterly revenues if GMST experiences arithmetic growth with a growth rate of $2 million per quarter. The second will contain the quarterly revenues if GMST experiences geometric growth with a growth rate of $2 million per quarter. In parentheses is the quarterly percent growth in each case.

                  In Millions
Quarter Arithmetic Geometric
0 0(0%) 0(0%)
1 2(infinite%) 2(infinite%)
2 4(100%) 4(100%)
3 6(50%) 8(100%)
4 8(33%) 16(100%)
5 10(25%) 32(100%)
6 12(20%) 64(100%)
7 14(17%) 128(100%)
8 16(14%) 256(100%)
9 18(13%) 512(100%)
10 20(11%) 1024(100%)

After 10 quarters of arithmetic growth, a $1000 investment becomes $20,000. After 10 quarters of geometric growth, the same amount becomes $1,000,000. Guess which type of growth we prefer? This also illustrates the advantage of long term investing. Sell after 5 quarters and you have not missed half (50%) of the growth, but 97% of the growth. (Incidentally, change quarters to years and you have Cisco's growth.)

M