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Technology Stocks : EMC How high can it go? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: GVTucker who wrote (9221)2/14/2000 8:49:00 AM
From: JDN  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 17183
 
Dear GV: Looking at the chart you posted, it would appear a migration to the larger systems is what is taking place. Considering the merger late last year which will result in more of the middle size production this may all be normal. I would suppose Mike is talking about the future backlog of orders not the past. I cannot imagin that they had any reduction in price during the past year. JDN



To: GVTucker who wrote (9221)2/14/2000 9:24:00 AM
From: John Carragher  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 17183
 
would y2k have any affect on numbers?



To: GVTucker who wrote (9221)2/14/2000 5:33:00 PM
From: Gus  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 17183
 
But what doesn't make sense to me is that although you're
seeing an increase in demand, you aren't seeing an
increasing rate of growth in the customer base.


GV companies can add enclosures or units or they can replace the disk drives in an existing enclosure or unit with higher-capacity drives using the same form factor to increase capacity. EMC generates sales both ways. EMC derives its price premiums from its architecture which supports the IBM-compatible mainframe market and that is obviously not a fast-growing market. Data General (Clariion) lets them go after the more price-conscious middle market -- Unix, NT, Novell, etc.



To: GVTucker who wrote (9221)2/18/2000 3:57:00 PM
From: pirate_200  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 17183
 
> In fact, you're seeing a absolute decline in unit
> sales versus last year's 4Q. I posted this little
> chart last quarter, and duplicate it for the 4Q
> (data courtesy of Morgan Stanley):

What bothered me, and correct me if I am wrong, but
I thought I heard on the last conference call that
they were not going to break out unit sales numbers
any more during future earnings conference calls?

They also said that the sales people have quota for
both system and software sales. I suspect since the
better margins are on software (and maybe better
incentives for sales?), they are pushing software
more in the sales cycle?

Could it be that the Y2K cycle offered an opportunity
to sell more units for testing where a company needed
to duplicate a database etc. for testing and now we
are seeing the downslope of that curve? The opportunity
seems to be now in E-business and maybe we are seeing
a few transitional quarters before that ramp up really
occurs?

I'm looking for an entrypoint to EMC but also am
concerned about the DG acquisition and the prediction
from the conference call of a slower growth quarter
in the spring.