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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: sandeep who wrote (45969)	2/16/2000 10:21:00 PM
From: Follies	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 94695

The gains in productivity and the deflationary pressures of the internet will lead to very little inflation over the next few years, IMHO. This is exactly what the Fed wants you to believe and it is totally false. Inflation is not rising prices, that is the usual symptom. Inflation is the increase in money supply relative to the reserves. If prices drop due to improvements in efficiencies this has nothing to do with inflation. Look to items which cannot be improved with better manufacturing/distribution, how about raw land, difficult to make more of that. Do you think land has shown no inflation?

To: sandeep who wrote (45969)	2/16/2000 11:07:00 PM
From: edward miller	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 94695

Sandeep, What you have seen in the last few years is an anomaly, made up of dropping commodities, especially crude oil, coupled with hedgers shorting crude, commodities and gold. This gives the illusion that inflation is dead. Wake up. Look at the prices of drugs, cars and houses, not to mention food. If you have a family with even one person who continually needs medication you would know. Some day the worm will turn, and it could be happening this year. It certainly has in crude oil, which is likely to be much more expensive, on average, in the years ahead. There will be dips, but I am very confident we will never see $15 crude oil again - not ever.