WallSt.J 2/17:Article on SBC, ALA and DSL:ÿÿÿ ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ interactive.wsj.com
ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ Bells Find Out Fiber-Optic Lines, ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ High-Speed Web Access Don't Mix
ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ By LESLIE CAULEYÿ ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ Staff Reporter of THE WALL STREET JOURNAL
ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ Phone companies are counting on digital subscriber-line ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ technology, known as DSL, to be their ticket to the world ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ of high-speed Internet access. They've also been betting ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ on another technology, fiber optics, to upgrade the old ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ Bell networks, at a cost of billions of dollars.
ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ Now the Bells face a difficult quandary: The two ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ technologies are the equivalent of oil and water. They ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ just don't mix.
ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ The incompatibility presents a major hurdle for the Bells ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ as they try to outmaneuver the cable-TV industry for ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ position in the next phase of the online revolution: ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ Internet service that is super-fast and "always on," just ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ like a TV signal. Hoping to build and own the ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ infrastructure that will one day bring high-speed Web ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ access to America, the phone and cable industries are ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ running a high-stakes race for households and market ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ share, a technological land grab.
ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ First, though, the Bells have to resolve a more pressing ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ problem. DSL was designed to be delivered on the ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ Bells' century-old copper networks, not on the new ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ fiber-optic networks. The old copper networks gave ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ each customer a "dedicated" wire (actually, a pair of ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ them) to carry the electrical signal from the phone ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ company's central office to the kitchen phone and back. ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ Fiber networks, on the other hand, carry a signal that ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ moves as pulses of light over hair-thin glass tubes along ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ ever-changing routes, selecting the most efficient path ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ available depending on volume and other factors.
ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ Right now, the universe of high-speed Web service is ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ minuscule. According to a report by Sanford C. ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ Bernstein and McKinsey & Co., there were about ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ 228,000 residential DSLÿcustomers at the end of 1999. ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ By comparison, there were 1.62 million customers for theÿ ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ cable companies'ÿ high-speed Web access, delivered using ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ powerful modems and upgraded cable lines.
ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ Tom Wolzien, a cable analyst at Sanford C. Bernstein, ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ gives the cable industry a two-year lead over the Bells. ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ The high-speed market "is cable's to lose," he says. The ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ Bernstein-McKinsey report says many of high-speed's ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ best potential customers live in areas already serviced ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ by upgraded cable lines but not easily reached by DSL.
ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ Cable-modem Internet service is far from perfect. It is a ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ "shared" service, so users log on to the same fat pipe. ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ They may experience slowdowns in transmission during ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ peak usage times, just as the water pressure in an ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ apartment building can drop if everyone takes showers at ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ once.
ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ Some phone-industry experts say because the high-speed ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ cable lines are "shared," they also may be more ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ susceptible to security breaches. The cable industry says ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ its high-speed service is no more vulnerable to hackers ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ than competitors', properly managed networks don't slow ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ down and network kinks will be ironed out in time.
ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ The phone companies have known for a long time about ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ the DSL-fiber clash. Still, it's difficult to see how they ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ could have avoided the current predicament. Fiber-optic ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ lines, with almost unlimited capacity, have been ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ indispensable in enabling the Bell networks to handle ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ millions of new cellular phones, fax machines and ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ second telephone lines. The fiber lines also are easier ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ and cheaper to maintain. But competition forced the ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ Bells' hands. When cable companies jumped in with ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ aggressive high-speed offerings, the Bells' dusted off ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ DSL, a 15-year-old technology that had been sitting on ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ the shelf for years, and hastily repackaged it as a new ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ technology that would light a fire under consumers.
ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ Right now, getting DSL can be an enormous headache. It ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ can be downright impossible in many new communities ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ that the Bell companies have wired with fiber lines. ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ Even senior Bell execs haven't been able to get around ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ the problem. Sol Trujillo, chairman of U S West Inc., the ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ Denver Bell, discovered last year that he wasn't eligible ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ for DSL in his new Cherry Hills home because the ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ neighborhood was served by fiber lines.
ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ The remedy? U S West ran a monster T-1 line, the kind ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ of data line favored by big businesses, to the chairman's ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ newly constructed home. To this day, he still can't get ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ DSL.
ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ "None of us has a solution to get DSL to the end" of the ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ fiber lines, says Amy McIntosh, president and chief ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ executive of Bell Atlantic Corp.'s data unit. Still, Ms. ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ McIntosh says, she is confident the problem will be ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ solved soon. "I'll take our hand of cards versus the cable ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ companies' any day."
ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ Even when it has copper lines to run on, DSL has other ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ quirks. Network experts say the DSL lines shouldn't be ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ located with other data lines in the same "sheaths," the ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ big bundles that are buried in the ground. That's because ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ DSL lines can pick up electronic interference from other ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ lines, and also create it.
ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ Before installing DSL, the Bells typically dispatch a ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ crew to check sheaths for the presence of other data lines ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ and remove or relocate them if necessary. These service ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ calls, called "truck rolls," are expensive, and most Bells ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ try to avoid them.
ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ Then there is the distance problem. Currently, the ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ farthest a DSL signal can travel without degradation is ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ about 15,000 feet, or a little less than three miles. That ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ means people have to live within 15,000 feet of a Bell ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ central office, where DSL signals originate, to be ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ eligible for the service. But even then, if you have fiber ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ lines you are out of luck. U S West's Mr. Trujillo, for ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ example, lives only 9,600 feet from a central office.
ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ There are other problems, depending on how the local ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ network is laid out. Some lines snake around ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ underground so much they can easily eat up 15,000 feet ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ long before they reach houses that would seem to meet ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ the DSL distance requirement.
ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ DSL performance also can be affected by such things as ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ the thickness of the copper wire it is riding on. Thin ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ wires don't handle DSL as well as thick ones, which are ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ pricier. The problem is, some Bells, aiming to cut down ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ on costs, have deployed miles upon miles of ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ thinner-gauge copper over the years. As a result, ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ customers who live in those areas may have to make do ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ with slower DSL connections for a long time. The Bells ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ could just replace the lines with thicker copper wiring, ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ of course, but that would be expensive.
ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ And then there are the obstacles many consumers have ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ created inadvertently for themselves, by doing their own ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ "inside wiring." For more than a decade, customers have ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ been permitted to attend to the telephone wiring inside ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ their homes. The all-too-predictable result in many ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ homes is a mish-mash of wiring schemes, many of which ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ aren't compatible with DSL either.
ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ John Goldman, a spokesman for BellSouth Corp., says ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ DSL installers sometimes have to make several trips to ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ clean up the mess. "It can be a real nightmare," he says.
ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ Clearing the hurdles won't be cheap. SBC ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ Communications Inc., the big San Antonio Bell, recently ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ committed $6 billion to overhaul its network to better ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ accommodate DSL. As part of the effort, SBC says, it is ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ working with manufacturers to come up with solutions to ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ DSL's problems.
ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ One consequence of the DSL-fiber clash is that Bells ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ with the highest-quality networks are among the least ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ prepared to offer DSL. Because of aggressive upgrading ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ over the years, Bell Atlantic and BellSouth have ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ top-notch networks that are crammed with new fiber ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ lines. Both acknowledge the issue and say they are ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ working with vendors to come up with answers.
ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ Equipment makers have been working for years to ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ resolve the problems. Alcatel, the French telecom-gear ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ manufacturer, is currently in field trials with a "remote ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ terminal," a kind of adapter that is supposed to let DSL ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ and fiber interconnect. Once installed in neighborhoods, ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ the remote terminals would act as mini "central offices," ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ extending the reach of DSL while creating a path for ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ fiber users.
ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ More than four years in the making, the remote units, ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ crammed with miniaturized components, have their own ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ battery backup power -- necessary in the event of a ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ power outage, because they are powered by local ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ utilities. They range in price from about $1,000 to more ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ than $50,000 and can handle 24 to 2,000 lines each. The ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ smallest is the size of a big ice cooler; the biggest, the ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ size of a small Volkswagen bus.
ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ Alcatel Vice President Paul Segre says a ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ commercial-grade model should be available in about ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ six weeks. SBC, anxious to push ahead, began using test ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ units in January and says they work fine. Bell Atlantic, ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ another customer, won't deploy the terminals until field ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ tests are finished around midyear, Bell Atlantic figures. |