Valence Technology, Inc.: A Decade of Expectations ===================================================
Background ----------
In the dynamic world of portable electronics the demand for better energy storage devices has been increasing dramatically. Nickel Cadmium (NiCd) and Nickel Metal Hydride (NiMH) battery technologies are struggling to meet consumer demands for longer running time and lower weight. Lithium based battery technologies offer the promise of increased energy storage with small volume batteries. There are three lithium based options: Lithium Metal, Lithium Ion and Lithium Polymer. Lithium Metal was the original configuration first launched in the 1980?s and suffered from some early safety issues. Lithium Ion can be found in cylindrical cells and prismatic (rectangular) shapes and uses a liquid electrolyte. Lithium Polymer uses a solid polymer as an electrolyte and can be constructed in flexible prismatic flat shapes. The portable electronics industry is investing heavily in evaluating a number of lithium based battery options. Valence Technology, Inc. (NASDAQ: VLNC), located in Henderson, Nevada, has developed a lithium rechargeable battery that incorporates various facets of lithium Ion and polymer technologies.
The Technology ---------------
Lithium is an element that has always held the interest of battery developers. It has an electrical potential of 3.8 to 4.0 volts and exhibits excellent energy density on both a gravemetric and volumetric basis. Development of lithium based batteries was recorded in 1912, but commercially viable products were not available in the form of primary (non-rechargeable) batteries until the early 1970?s. Early attempts at secondary (rechargeable) lithium batteries in the 1980?s met with failure because of safety problems. Considerable research was conducted since the 1980?s culminating in a number of lithium based commercial products.
The lithium technology developed by Valence is considered a ?hybrid? approach. It uses internally developed proprietary technology, coupled with licensed technology from Bellcore, to create what it believes is a unique approach. The Valence technology uses no metallic lithium, but employs a design that moves lithium ion from an anode to a cathode on discharge and from the cathode to the anode on charge. In the industry this is referred to as a ?rocking chair battery?, because the lithium ions are shuttled back and forth between the anode and the cathode. It is classified as a lithium ion battery because the lithium is always in an ionic state rather than metallic.
The resultant Valence batteries are relatively thin and flexible. Valence reports, once the basic technology is perfected the Valence lithium batteries can be ?molded? to fit specific product requirements. It is not clear from the available testing that Valence enjoys a significant advantage over other companies that are manufacturing lithium polymer battery products. Valence has invested heavily in intellectual protection of its technology with 180 related patents granted and an additional 48 pending.
The Company ----------- -----------
Founded in 1989, Valence Technology, Inc., sought to develop and commercialize some research and development started by Mead Corporation of Dayton, Ohio. Mead, a major supplier of paper products, had developed some thin film technology applicable to batteries. Valence was able to obtain the rights to this technology and developed an aggressive plan to develop a range of rechargeable lithium batteries.
In 1991 Valence entered into a research and development agreement with the Delphi Automotive Systems Division (known at that time as Delco-Remy) of the General Motors Corporation. The initial contract was for a multi-year effort scoped at $20M. Delphi was seeking advanced battery technology for vehicle and load leveling applications and was familiar with the previous development completed by Mead.
Armed with an R&D commitment from GM, and support from the portable electronics industry, Valence completed an initial public offering in 1992, and was quite successful, raising more than $90M. It was considered a hot stock by many investors based on the representations of the company concerning its technology and potential applications. In 1993, Valence signed an agreement with the Industrial Development Board of Northern Ireland to locate an automated production line in Mallusk, Northern Ireland.
Early in 1994, Valence announced that there would a delay in the commercialization process. This announcement, and subsequent press releases on production schedules, resulted in a class action lawsuit being filed in May 1994. The suit alleged violations of the federal securities laws against the company and several of its present and former officers and directors, and the underwriters of the public stock offering. Specifically, the suit alleged the defendants issued a series of misleading statements concerning the business and future prospects. In 1996, there were a series of court rulings in favor of Valence and the other defendants. The plaintiffs have appealed and the case is still pending.
In June 1995, Valence obtained a license from Bellcore for its plastic lithium battery technology. The goal was to incorporate the Bellcore technology with the proprietary Valence technology to produce a more competitive product. The Bellcore license was non-exclusive, at last count more that 12 other licenses have been granted. Bellcore received a minority equity position in Valence as well as a cash payment.
Valence has also entered into a number of joint ventures with companies in various global markets. They include the formation of a Caymans Island subsidiary; Valtron Technologies (with Goldtron Ltd., a Singapore based firm); Alliant/Valence L.L.P (with Alliant Techsystems, Inc., of Horsham, Pennsylvania); Hanil Valence Co., Ltd. (with Hanil Telcom Co., Ltd., a Korean manufacturer); and a joint development and license agreement with Eveready Battery Company. These agreements were designed to add manufacturing partners, open new markets or cross license technology.
The original research and development contract with Delphi was extended in 1994 with an additional $900K added to the contract. In 1994 a new agreement was signed between Delphi and Valence which resulted in an additional $1.85M of R&D funding for Valence. Over the course of 1991 to 1998, Delphi invested nearly $23M in Valence. On May 15, 1998, Valence and Delphi issued a joint press release stating that they had successfully completed their technology development effort and would separately develop applications for different markets. One could read from this announcement that the venture was successful ð or that Delphi had finally decided not to invest any further in Valence.
The history of Valence has been marked with missed schedules and production delays. When the company was chartered, indications were that the technology was relatively mature and emphasis would be on perfecting the manufacturing techniques to quickly bring the product to market. Valence even entered into an agreement with the Industrial Development Board of Northern Ireland to set up a volume manufacturing facility in 1993. Multiple sites were identified and plans were developed to hire a significant technical staff. These locations remain at a very low level of activity, with very limited staff until 1998.
It appears that even if Valence is successful in starting commercial production in the last quarter of 1998, it will have been a decade from when the company was formed.
People in ð People Out -----------------------
Successful companies require four balanced elements: a viable technology; a timely market demand for the product; sufficient capital and people. Missing any one of these elements will result in failure. With the R&D contract from GM Delphi, and its very successful IPO, Valence had the cash to attract a very talented staff. The latest report from the company indicated a staff of 95 with 10 PhDs. There have been some disquieting departures over the last year.
When Valence was founded in 1989, the first President was Lev Dawson. He remained in that position until 1991, when he stepped down in favor of Cal Reed. Mr. Reed served as President, Chief Executive Officer and Chairman of the Board from 1991 until the end of 1997. In December 1997, Cal Reed announced his resignation. Lev Dawson, who assumed all three positions, replaced him, effective December 4, 1997. What followed could be termed a rapid exodus of senior staff members.
After the departure of Cal Reed, the next to leave was William Masuda, Executive Vice President, Worldwide Operations, in January 1998. Several Valence press releases and securities documents identified Mr. Masuda as having direct responsibility for setting up the production facilities in Northern Ireland. "Personal Reasons" were sited for Masuda?s departure and no replacement was named.
The next to go was Bradley Perkins who was listed as a Vice President and General Counsel. He departed Valence on January 16,1998, and there does not appear to be a press release with reasons for his departure or any announcement of a replacement.
Finally, in June 1998, Dr. Tibor Kalonki-Kis, Chief Technical Officer announced his departure, citing "Personal Reasons." Dr. Kalonki-Kis was hired in February 1997, coming to Valence from Gould Electronics and had more than 20 years of battery experience. In the press release announcing his hiring, it was state that Dr. Kalonki-Kis would "take charge of all research and development activities associated the Valence?s commercialization program as well as direct all future R&D programs in support of Valence?s efforts to continuously improve its products." In the announcement of Dr. Kalnoki-Kis?s departure, it was stated that Lev Dawson would assume responsibility for Product Development, again no replacement for a senior staff member.
Counting Cal Reed, Valence experienced the departure of four senior staff members at a very critical phase of initial product certification with key customers and the establishment of the initial high volume production line in Northern Ireland.
Status ------
Valence appears to have committed to commercial production. They have consolidated equipment and staff at their Henderson, Nevada, facility to turn out a small volume of pre-production batteries that have been shipped to a number of customers for testing. Volume production is to be carried out in their Mallusk, Northern Ireland, facility. The initial volume production line is reported to have capacity of 1.2 million batteries per year, with additional lines being planned. According to company releases, all of the volume production will be carried out in Northern Ireland. Valence appears to be targeting the laptop computer market for its initial product.
>From a competitive perspective, Valence has some formidable opponents for the emerging market, some with very deep pockets. Ultralife Batteries, Inc. is in production and shipping commercial lithium polymer batteries. W. R. Grace & Co., is involved in a commercial lithium development project as are Ray O Vac and several Japanese battery companies. Moltech Corporation, a Canadian company with more than a decade of commercial lithium production has recently announced a lithium polymer product. Lurking in the background is 3M Corporation. With a history of successful commercialization efforts, 3M has received significant R&D funding from the US Advanced Battery Consortium and is reported to be having significant success in testing a lithium polymer battery. The field is moving fast with a couple of competitors already in the market.
The key challenge facing Valence at this point in time is achieving positive test results from potential customers and converting those results into hard orders. From the filed security documents it appears Valence has spent $125+ million over the past ten years to perfect the technology and manufacturing processes. Recent filings indicate that Valence has obtained additional investments (reported at $15M) and credit lines that would sustain operations for another two to three quarters at the present spend rate. The question remains: is this sufficient resource to carry Valence through early production, product certification and significant customer orders? A production delay or an extended customer certification process could seriously deplete current reserves.
Outlook -------
It appears that the fate of Valence Technology and its investors rest solely on the shoulders of Lev Dawson. He has taken personal control of the company and presided over the departure of several key members of the technical and operations staff. At this time there have been no announcements that these key people were replaced. Instead, Mr. Dawson has assumed a number of this vacated positions and is directing all phases of the company?s operations. This includes the initial product for customer testing and certification from the Henderson, Nevada, facility and the initial high volume production line in Northern Ireland. |