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Strategies & Market Trends : The Stock Market Bubble -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Roger A. Babb who wrote (3048)	2/18/2000 7:39:00 PM
From: Kailash	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 3339

Hi Roger - Long time no see. I got killed shorting internets two years ago -- that was quite a lesson. I lost a lot on amzn -- and now there's the big revelation that they may never make a dime. As of this afternoon for the first time I'm almost completely short -- manic high-flyers such as mcll, cbmi, and scon that look like they have topped out; they're my synthetic puts for a big fall. How are you playing today's possible Nasdaq top? Kailash

To: Roger A. Babb who wrote (3048)	2/18/2000 10:43:00 PM
From: bobby beara	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 3339

Roger, i think your right. "But today may have been the NASDAQ top." 18 days posting vacancy! The bears have mostly thrown in the towel and the few hard core bears left are on the clown thread so demoralized they are playing juvenile disruption games. I found it quite amazing that only a week ago thursday all ten top timers of Timer's Digest were bullish, a fairly rare occurance. Of course we've had 8 bulls 2 neutrals on WSW elves since they dumped the last bear - Gail Dudac. and two weeks ago rydex ursa made another record low. everybody is playing the tech game (me too -g-) b

To: Roger A. Babb who wrote (3048)	2/19/2000 9:24:00 AM
From: Dale Baker	Respond to of 3339

The Naz looks ripe for a 10% haircut back to 4000, the 50-EMA and the bottom of the Bollinger band. A move lower than that would start to look like the run from mid-October is cracking. At the same time, Naz runs don't usually last longer than 4-5 months at a stretch in recent years. This run should peter out by mid-March. Then the bears can crow victory while longs adjust their portfolios for a few sideways months and count their winnings. Most of my portfolio is in lesser-known small caps that won't get knocked around much if the funds start panic selling in a larger drop. We may get to the point where the "bubble" has theoretically burst, but it won't mean much at all to the adept trader. To those who say the common myth is that "everyone" will get out in time....I can only say that "everyone" is not my problem. Never is in the stock market unless some new benevolent investing oversight crusade broke out when I wasn't looking. Most permabears didn't let up when some of their colleagues got their clocks cleaned shorting mo-mo stocks. Plus ca change......All the best.