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To: pater tenebrarum who wrote (11190)	2/20/2000 6:43:00 AM
From: fut_trade	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 42523

Thanks Heinz. A bear market is no problem, I just don't want a crash like the Nikkei in 1990. That index has been directionless and untradable for the last 10 years. I just noticed that the S&P 600 (smallcap) has been outperforming the S&P 500 and S&P 400 (midcap) indices. They all had the same P/E a few months ago ~ 33. Now the S&P 600 P/E is about 43. It's not that the earnings of the smallcap companies is improving, but instead the P/E has broken out to a new high<G>.

To: pater tenebrarum who wrote (11190)	2/21/2000 11:08:00 AM
From: Lucretius	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 42523

i think this clown read our discussions this weekend in PM's (BG) if there's two of us thinking this.... it ain't gonna happen -g- buy calls.... -s- STOCK MARKET CRASH ALERT Business/Economy Breaking News Opinion Source: Spirit Of Truth Published: 02/16/00 Author: J. Adams Posted on 02/17/2000 01:20:06 PST by Spirit Of Truth STOCK MARKET CRASH ALERT J. Adams February 16th, 2000 Stock Market Update Clearly the U.S. stock market is a financial bubble ready to pop. The trillion dollar question is when the bubble will burst. Historically, for whatever reason, stock market crashes tend to occur during the days around full moons prior to or following a solar eclipse. Steve Puetz examined the connection between eclipses and stock market crashes throughout history. He found that eight of the greatest stock market crashes in history hit within a time period of six days before to three days after a full moon that occurred within six weeks of a solar eclipse. According to Puetz, the probability of this occurring accidentally is .23 raised to the eighth power ? less than one chance in 127,000 - strong evidence that, for whatever reason, full moons and/or lunar eclipses just before or after solar eclipses trigger stock market crashes. (For an excellent review of this matter and a timely overview on the current state of the U.S. stock market, see Peter Eliades' Current Observations.) This weekend a full moon following a February 5th solar eclipse will occur. Accordingly, there is a potential for the financial bubble to burst in the days ahead. Furthermore, the 1929 and 1987 stock market crashes occurred into the 55th day after the market topped in those years. The S&P 500 topped on December 31st. Accordingly, a crash into the 55th day after this top implies a collapse into February 24th. Is history about to repeat itself?