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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Crimson Ghost who wrote (40873)2/21/2000 12:28:00 PM
From: Haim R. Branisteanu  Respond to of 99985
 
George have you noticed that the graph of money supply and GE chart are very similar??

Wonder if any one can built such a chart - M1 and GE

and BTW teh grains are bottoming out we all know Oil does not matter now what they will say about Grains??

cbot.com

cbot.com

cbot.com

Haim



To: Crimson Ghost who wrote (40873)2/21/2000 1:35:00 PM
From: Jacob Snyder  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 99985
 
re: "numbers are a crocks of sh...t."

You might enjoy this story:

I worked for several years for the government, in a village on the northwest coast of Alaska. One year, they barged up some new houses for us. When I asked what the rent was going to be, and how it was calculated, I was told:

"We base it on the cost of equivalent housing in the community"
I said: "There is no housing market here, nothing equivalent can be rented or bought, that's the reason why you guys are building housing."
"That's right. So we use rental numbers from the closest community for which there are reliable statistics. That would be Fairbanks."
"But Fairbanks is 500 miles away."
"Right. So, obviously, costs are going to be different."
"Obviously."
"So, we have this formula, we plug in the cost of renting in Fairbanks, and add to that a fraction of the miles from Fairbanks to here. There are some other variables, too, that go into it."
"How is that fair?"
"Well, it isn't, and the number that came out when they did their calculations was absurd, so they thought about it, and cut 40% off the number, and that's your rent."
"Why 40%? Why not 50%, or 30%?"
"Well, I guess that's just what seemed about right to them."
"And where are the people who are deciding this?"
"I'm not sure. I think it's a committee at headquarters, in Rockville, Maryland."
"That's about 4000 miles from here. Have any of them ever visited here?"
"Probably not. I don't even know who they are. The report is just signed "housing committee", no names."



To: Crimson Ghost who wrote (40873)2/21/2000 7:45:00 PM
From: Hawkmoon  Respond to of 99985
 
BTW here is additional evidence the Labor Department's productivity numbers are a crocks of sh...t.

Actually George, that question about working at home or working overtime was broached to AG during his testimony.

He claims that since the Fed also closely watches the actual hours worked that the productivity figures are pretty accurate.

You can look through his testimony and the congressional Q&A for his exact words.

Regards,

Ron



To: Crimson Ghost who wrote (40873)2/21/2000 9:02:00 PM
From: pater tenebrarum  Respond to of 99985
 
George, what the value sectors will do will depend on the shape and form of a NAZ correction imo...note that value managers seem inordinately bullish despite the technical weakness in the value stocks, because they are "cheap". (i have however only anecdotal evidence of this, no hard numbers).
the cheapness may well turn out to be a trap...

regards,

hb