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Technology Stocks : Alcatel (ALA) and France -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Steve Fancy who wrote (1276)2/24/2000 1:13:00 PM
From: Steve Fancy  Respond to of 3891
 
Alcatel's Mkt Access, Portfolio Stronger With Newbridge
By VALERIE VENCK

Dow Jones Newswires -- February 23, 2000

PARIS -- Alcatel SA's (ALA) $7.1 billion buy of Canadian telecommunications equipment supplier Newbridge Networks Corp. (NN) will strengthen the French group's access to the North American market, as well as its product portfolio, analysts said Wednesday.

Newbridge has a strong presence in the asynchronous transfer mode - or ATM - market, a new area for Alcatel. So far, Alcatel has invested in Internet protocol rather than ATM to provide data carrying services.

However, the French group says that both technologies have a strong growth potential, and analysts seem to agree.

"The acquisition (is) strategically very positive for the group (Alcatel)," Antoine Joly, telecommunications analyst at French broking house Aurel-Leven said.

Joly says Newbridge's integration into Alcatel will go smoothly, because the French group has had previous successful experiences after buying North American companies, such as U.S.-based Xylan.

Analysts said Wednesday that Newbridge was a good opportunity and that Alcatel paid a fair price.

Despite the market's enthusiasm for the deal, Alcatel's Paris-listed shares were down 3.5% or EUR8.20 at EUR229.30 around 1259 GMT, after rising as much as 5.1% to EUR249.50 in early trading.

The decline is due to arbitrage traders revaluing the group's share price based on the agreed swap of 0.81 Alcatel American Depositary Share for every one Newbridge share.

Tuesday, Alcatel ADS closed 1.6% higher in New York at $48.125, while Newbridge shares rose 5% to $34.375.

In the short term, Alcatel shares in Paris are likely to remain flat or even fall slightly, but the medium-to-long term prospects for the stock are positive, one analyst said.

Meanwhile, the market doesn't seem to worry about Newbridge's poor results over the past two years, and is confident that Alcatel will be able to turn Newbridge's weaknesses into strengths.

"Newbridge has been suffering because it didn't have the necessary critical mass" to grow, Aurel-Leven's Joly said.

This is seen as particularly true for the fast expanding digital synchronous line and local multipoint distribution service markets, which both allow high-speed Internet access.

However, this is no longer relevant since the French group said Wednesday that the deal positions Alcatel among the world's top three players in new generation data networks, while boosting the group's growth in revenues and earnings per share.

By Valerie Venck; 33 (0)1 40 17 17 40

-valerie.venck@dowjones.com





To: Steve Fancy who wrote (1276)2/24/2000 1:15:00 PM
From: Steve Fancy  Respond to of 3891
 
Newbridge's Incorrect Bet On ATM Behind Alcatel Deal
By BEN DUMMETT

Dow Jones Newswires -- February 23, 2000

TORONTO -- What a difference 24 months make.

In the case of Newbridge Networks Corp. (NN), this relatively short period marked its transformation from an independent vendor of networking equipment to a company forced to put up a for-sale sign.

Back in 1997, Terry Matthews, Newbridge's founder, chief executive and visionary, confidently wrote to shareholders in the company's annual report: "There is no doubt that, in the next millennium, most voice, data, video and multimedia traffic will be carried on asynchronous transfer mode-based, broadband, multiservice and multi-application networks."

But only a year later, this vision proved flawed, and helped to drive one of Canada's leading technology companies into the arms of Alcatel S.A. (ALA) for about $7.1 billion in stock.

Matthews' pronouncement in 1997 "is a stunning piece of short-sightedness, in that a year later it became obviously apparent that a very decent portion of networks would be more Internet-Protocol-based than ATM, and that ATM needed to co-exist in an IP world," Paul Sagawa, analyst at Sanford C. Bernstein, said in a recent interview.

Newbridge's incorrect bet on ATM equipment underscores the risks network vendors face by failing to correctly anticipate the changing needs of their customers.

Last month, Lucent Technologies Inc. (LU) prompted a big sell-off in its stock after the big U.S. network-equipment vendor warned its first-quarter earnings would fall short of expectations, partly because it misjudged how quickly customers would adopt next-generation optical networking gear.

Alcatel Deal Suggests Newbridge Too Small To Compete
Alcatel's planned acquisition of Newbridge also highlights the growing preference of communications companies to buy their equipment from a few big vendors, instead of several smaller ones, because of the breadth of their products and financial muscle.

Newbridge can compete against Lucent, U.S.-based Cisco Systems Inc. (CSCO) and Canada's Nortel Networks Corp. (NT) for ATM contracts, but couldn't compete as easily in the fast growing markets of Internet protocols and optical networking.

Newbridge's financial track record is also inconsistent. Even though Newbridge's earnings for the third quarter ended Jan. 30, 2000 exceeded expectations, it had produced results below expectations in six of the previous 10 quarters. And the company put itself up for sale in November after issuing an earnings warnings for the second quarter.

In contrast, Lucent's earnings warning was the company's first in 16 quarters.

Newbridge's weakened state today is a far cry from the fall of 1997, when it appeared poised to become a leader in the networking industry.

Back then, Newbridge had just signed contracts with MCI Communications and British Telecommunications PLC (BTY), and appeared close to signing deals with Sprint Corp. (FON) and Sprint's Global One partners at the time - Deutsche Telekom AG (DT) and France Telecom (FTE). There were also rumors that it would sign a huge contract with AT&T Corp. (T), recalled Michael Urlocker, technology analyst at Scotia Capital.

"Newbridge came really close to the big time," said Urlocker. "But then things seemed to slip rather quickly."

Worldcom Inc. bought MCI to become MCI Worldcom (WCOM), which favored Cisco equipment. The Global One partnership, which collapsed earlier this year, couldn't unite over the use of Newbridge equipment, and Sprint, which is in the process of being acquired by MCI Worldcom, ultimately chose Cisco and Nortel as its main suppliers.

Finally, the rumored AT&T pact never materialized, Urlocker said.

IP Strategy Came Months Later Than Firm Projected
Newbridge ultimately did introduce an IP strategy in August 1999, which focused on high-speed data-network gear that works at the edge of the network. However, the plan came six months later than originally projected.

Newbridge was also late to market with its next-generation 50 gigabit ATM switch, which customers started testing in December. In turn, the company's ability to sell to the burgeoning new carrier market in the U.S. has been hobbled, analysts said.

Newbridge announced earlier Wednesday that ATM sales showed strong growth in the third quarter and sales in the U.S. were particularly encouraging. However, in the second quarter, Newbridge reported damaging news of a drop in quarterly sequential ATM sales, because of a lack of success in the U.S. market.

Duncan Stewart, portfolio manager at Tera Capital Corp., said in a recent interview that he started to realize the potential of IP technology in 1997, while attending industry conferences.

Why then didn't Matthews and his executive team also pick up the same signs back then?

"They looked and saw a pot of gold and it was so close that they started to ignore rival technologies that were still quite small, like IP," figures Urlocker, the Scotia Capital analyst.

Urlocker said he was told five years ago and again last week by a now former Newbridge employee: "The greatest asset Newbridge has, and the greatest weakness Newbridge has, is Terry Matthews."

Matthews won't be an employee of Newbridge as a result of the Alcatel deal. However, in a conference call with analysts Wednesday, Serge Tchuruk, Alcatel's chief executive, suggested he would be willing to listen to any advice Matthews had.

There was also plenty of evidence to suggest Newbridge management was preoccupied with trying to fix a number of blunders and didn't notice the development of new trends soon enough. The blunders include Newbridge's ill-fated acquisition of Ungermann-Bass Networks Inc. in January 1997 and the early 1999 order-intake problems, which largely caused the company's profit warning in the fourth quarter ended April 30, 1999.

-Ben Dummett, Dow Jones Newswires; 416-306-2024;

ben.dummett@dowjones.com





To: Steve Fancy who wrote (1276)2/24/2000 1:17:00 PM
From: Steve Fancy  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 3891
 
Alcatel Long-Term Debt Confirmed At A1: Moody's

Dow Jones Newswires -- February 23, 2000

FRANKFURT -- Moody's Investors Service said Wednesday it confirmed its A1/P1 rating of Alcatel (ALA) following the announcement of its acquisition of Newbridge Networks (NN).

The share for share transaction has an implied value of about $7.1 billion, the ratings agency said.

"The rating confirmation is based on the all equity deal structure, Alcatel's increased product range as well as market reach and expected synergies to be realized through the merger," Moody's said.

Moody's said the ratings confirmed are: Alcatel - A1 for bonds and medium-term notes, and the Prime-1 for short-term debt, including Billet de Tresorie; Compagnie Generale d'Electricite - A1 for convertible bonds assumed by Alcatel Alsthom S.A.; Alcatel Alsthom, Inc. - A1 for Eurobonds and medium-term notes and Prime-1 for guaranteed short-term debt; Alcatel Alsthom Finance, Inc. - Prime-1 for guaranteed short-term debt; and Alcatel Alsthom Finance, Ltd. - Prime-1 for guaranteed short-term debt.





To: Steve Fancy who wrote (1276)2/24/2000 1:19:00 PM
From: Steve Fancy  Respond to of 3891
 
Tundra Semi 'Comfortable' With FY2000 Analyst View
By SCOTT ADAMS

Dow Jones Newswires -- February 23, 2000

TORONTO -- Tundra Semiconductor Corp. (T.TUN) is "comfortable" with analysts' estimates for net income of 27 Canadian cents a diluted share for fiscal 2000.

However, analysts may move their estimates up after they take into account the third quarter, Tundra chief financial office Norm Paquette said, noting that Tundra reported net income of 8 Canadian cents a diluted share, 1 Canadian cent ahead of the First Call/Thomson Financial mean of earnings estimates.

Paquette said third-quarter revenue of C$10.4 million was a little ahead of expectations. For the first nine months, Tundra has reported C$28.6 million of revenue and net income of 21 Canadian cents a diluted share.

Tundra makes semiconductors that connect systems within networking and communications equipment. Tundra had 75 design wins in the quarter, bringing its total to 925.

Of the 75 in the quarter, 34 were for the PowerSpan, the company's newest product that started shipping four weeks ago. "To get that many design wins in one month with a brand new product obviously implies that the product has a lot of momentum out in the field," Tundra president and chief executive Adam Chowaniec said.

The gross margin in the quarter improved to 58%, from 57% in the second quarter and 54% in the first quarter. Tundra has been moving from outsourcing the manufacturing of its silicon chips to taking a more active role in the manufacturing, thus allowing it to improve its gross margins. Paquette said the company expects to further improve its gross margins into the low-to-mid 60s through the next couple of years.

Tundra is a Newbridge Networks Corp. (NN) affiliate. Newbridge has been reducing its stake in Tundra and had recently expressed an interest in selling about one-quarter of its 10%-11% stake, Chowaniec said.

Chowaniec said he has no had contract with Alcatel SA (ALA) to learn what Alcatel plans to do with its stake if Alcatel's takeover of Newbridge is successful. He said three-quarters of Newbridge's stake is escrowed for another three years, and will remain so if transferred to Alcatel.

-Scott Adams, Dow Jones Newswires; 416-306-2026;

scott.adams@dowjones.com





To: Steve Fancy who wrote (1276)2/24/2000 1:20:00 PM
From: Steve Fancy  Respond to of 3891
 
Globalstar Promises to Go 'Above And Beyond' Where Rivals Failed
By KATHRYN KRANHOLD and ANDY PASZTOR
Staff Reporters of THE WALL STREET JOURNAL

The Wall Street Journal Interactive Edition -- February 24, 2000

Globalstar Telecommunications ramps up its satellite-based commercial telephone service next week with a boost from a $60 million global advertising campaign. But can Globalstar deliver on the campaign's promise to go "Above and Beyond" what its competition has failed to do so far?

Globalstar, which is 45%-owned by Loral Space & Communications, has had to overcome hurdles including the destruction of 12 of its satellites in a 1998 launch. Last year, the collapse of rival Iridium painted a bleak picture for the infant industry. Iridium, which is now in bankruptcy proceedings, spent about $120 million on its campaign, "Calling Planet Earth," but the ads revved up before many phones were actually in the field. The service never took off amid complaints of poor voice quality and steep prices for the phone equipment.


Now, Globalstar, San Jose, Calif., is beginning widespread service with a phone that is smaller and -- at $1,200 -- cheaper to buy, compared with over $3,000 for Iridium's phone. Throughout the development of the new campaign, the strategy of both Globalstar and its agency, Grey Advertising, has been to differentiate the company and its offering from Iridium.

Grey Chairman and President Edward Meyer described Iridium's campaign, which was shot in sepia tones, showing desolate lands and focusing on the difficulty of traveling alone and without a telephone, as "dark," while the Globalstar effort tries to be expansive. "One is celebratory, the other is almost depressing." Iridium declined to comment on its ads.

The Globalstar campaign features footage from small villages in New Zealand and Argentina to major cities such as Shanghai and Buenos Aires. Grey Senior Creative Director Rob Baiocco spent six weeks shooting the footage showing workers using the telephone in a variety of situations. There are shots of the Andes, a Prague plaza, a vineyard in the Czech Republic, a canoe paddling down a river near Shanghai, a soccer field in Argentina and a four-by-four driving through the desert in Namibia.

A voice-over tells consumers that satellite-telephone service "lets you go beyond cellular and speak from places all over the world. A single simple phone provides both satellite and cellular service with a clear, reliable connection." It closes with "Globalstar, Above and Beyond."

The 30-second television spots, which will air around the world, including Russia, Latin America and China, will begin in the U.S. Monday on cable networks CNN, CNBC and ESPN, among others. Globalstar is targeting business travelers, the yachting set, governments, and businesses such as maritime and mining companies. A print campaign is already appearing in a variety of publications, which will include the Economist, Forbes, Fortune and The Wall Street Journal.

But will consumers buy it? Globalstar executives estimate there are about 40 million people out there who are in need of such satellite service; Globalstar's service has the capacity to handle around 7.5 million users.

Loral Chairman Bernard Schwartz says Globalstar will be "an outstanding success operationally, financially and in return to shareholders" if it reaches three million subscribers over several years, while breaking even before taxes requires about one million users. Mr. Schwartz estimates that the service will have about 500,000 subscribers by year end, although some analysts put the expected number at only about 300,000.

"If we're right about the market, then everything else will fall into place," Mr. Schwartz said.

To help market the phone, Globalstar is counting on its 12 investor partners, which include major telecommunication companies in China, Russia and Europe. For example, Telecommunications par Satellites Mobiles, owned by France Telecom and equipment maker Alcatel, will kick in money to bolster the Globalstar ad budget to air commercials in Globalstar markets where the French company operates.

At the same time, local Grey shops will tailor the spot to specific regions. In Brazil, that might mean substituting more shots of soccer or the Andes for boating in China. The music and language will also be changed, depending on the country.

Ad Notes ...

BRIEFS: Interpublic Group's DraftWorldwide said it acquired some divisions of Groupe Everest, a Toronto-based marketing agency. Draft picked up the majority of Groupe Everest holdings, including a graphic-design unit, production studio, multimedia unit and its direct-marketing arm, said Perry Miele, president of DraftWorldwide International Group. The deal gives Groupe Everest access to DraftWorldwide's direct-marketing and promotion services. Major clients of Groupe Everest include Molson Brewery and Honda Dealer Association. ... D'Arcy Masius Benton & Bowles, a unit of DBM, is going after financial and business clients by launching Masius, a New York ad shop. The agency will be a part of DMB&B Financial in London, which will also change its name to Masius. Rebecca Tudor-Foley, a former creative director at Omnicom Group's Doremus, has been named managing director of the new concern. ... Blue Martini Software, a maker of Internet software in San Mateo, Calif., appointed Ed Vick, chairman of Young & Rubicam, to the company's board.

Write to Kathryn Kranhold at kathryn.kranhold@wsj.com and Andy Pasztor at andy.pasztor@wsj.com