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To: Wyätt Gwyön who wrote (4521)2/24/2000 8:52:00 PM
From: Bill Fischofer  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 15615
 
OT: Language translation

Not today, but watch. This is classic "second half of the chessboard" stuff. Moore's law just keeps doubling away and we start to take it for granted--until everything changes.

It is convenient to divide computing into different "ages" based on the user interface that dominated the era. The first computers in the 1940s and 50s used wireboards and blinking lights and were accessible to a just a few highly trained specialists. Then punchcards took over and expanded computers into large businesses. Then timesharing emerged and the typewriter became the interaction model. The teletype became a CRT and then in the late 80s the current model of windowing and mice took over.

People invariably confuse the user interface with computing itself. Today we are nearing the end of the window-and-mouse era and it is sometimes hard to remember that this interface paradigm will give way to a successor model which will once again greatly expand the use of computing. The outlines of this new model are only beginning to be seen but it is clear that one of the main themes will be the pervasive use of digital video and spoken language. As Ed Newman, CEO of XYBR has observed, today there is a long list of technical hurdles which make computers hard to use for the average person. In the future the only requirement will be: Can you see and can you speak?