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To: Boca_PETE who wrote (12105)	2/25/2000 1:40:00 PM
From: marc ultra	Respond to of 15132

Pete re<<<<It will also be interesting to see how monthly 401K market cash inflows (not present during the 1977 bear) impact the forecasted market decline.>>> I suspect the average 401K does not offer the kind of funds that have given the huge performance in the NASDAQ which is being driven by a lot of individual stock purchases by through a broker anyway. I suspect a lot of people are going to be surprised and unhappy by there next quarterly statement if the S&P doesn't rally by then. If the Dow drops and stays below 10000 and the S&P is also doing lousy the news could get otherwise uninterested 401k holders to check their accounts on an interim basis and at least think about getting more defensive as most are not used to a world where stocks can go down without bouncing back right away. Hmmm, looks like the Dow is falling out of bed at the moment, guess I'll go check on things Marc