To: Ausdauer who wrote (114 ) 2/27/2000 9:39:00 PM From: KevRupert Respond to of 6784
Worldfinance Palm IPO Projections: Company Symbol Shares Range Lead Underwriter Palm Inc PALM 23 million $14-$16 Goldman Sachs Maker of Palm hand-held computers, 3Com carve out Palm is the market leader in hand held computing devices sporting a 68% share for it?s award winning product line. It is plugged into 3 major market trends: portable hand held devices, Internet appliances, and wireless access. It also licenses it?s operating system to other portable device makers, putting it into competition with Windows-CE. As of December ?99, more than 5 million units have been sold and the firm has more than 29,000 third party developers building additional software applications for the units. Consequently, in the near term it should dominate it?s segment. The addition of wireless access services is expected to accelerate demand. Growth has been strong. Between F97 and F98, revenues surged 121.9% during early ramp up. In 3mF?00 the rate declined to a still respectable 52.1% given the size of the revenues, which are expected to reach the $931 million range in ?99. Unlike most IPO?s this firm has positive gross (43.4%), operating (8.4%), and net (5.2%) margins. However, margins have been declining and will continue with the development and roll out of wireless services. However, fundamentals are unusually strong for an IPO. As a first in their sector, comparables are not available. However, competition is expected from cell phones and a new generation of laptops & palmtops. However, their early leadership, strong share, increasing application library, and aggressive product development should provide a mid-term competitive advantage. Pre-offering demand has been reported to be extremely heavy. Despite the relatively large size of the offering, expect a very favorable initial reception (e.g., 100+%) followed by aftermarket appreciation. However, we expect the terms of the offering to be boosted substantially prior to the offering. In fact, an offering price in the $30 range would not be unexpected. Of course, any sizable increase in the terms will reduce the anticipated first day performance.