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Strategies & Market Trends : Asia Forum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Liatris Spicata who wrote (9512)	2/28/2000 8:08:00 AM
From: Hawkmoon	Respond to of 9980

Good thoughts Larry. There is no way that either you or I can predict what the leadership in Bejing is on track to do. Your scenario is just as likely as mine. But I just have to believe that these guys aren't prepared to throw the world into global war over a renegade province just offshore. It's not like we have stationed nuclear weapons there, as was the case with Russia in Cuba. The Taiwanese aren't subverting Bejing's interests in Hong Kong or Macao, or formenting anti-Chinese sentiment in countries neighboring China. Call me delusional... or sailing on the river of De Nile...:0) They just want to be left alone to make their money, right? Call it a gut feeling, but an attack on Taiwan (home of so much of the world's semiconductor manufacturing) would create global long-lasting negative sentiment towards China that I think would be hard to overcome for many years. Regards, Ron