To: Patton Wilson who wrote (3371 ) 2/29/2000 10:21:00 AM From: Beltropolis Boy Respond to of 4710
re: SSB, it appears they simply got left behind on the price target. fwiw, following is the text. btw, thanks rog, for the kind words. -----VTSS: Raising Price Target from $40 to $100 Salomon Smith Barney Tuesday, February 29, 2000 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- --SUMMARY:--Vitesse Semiconductor--Semiconductors --EARNINGS PER SHARE-------------------------------------------------------- FYE 1 Qtr 2 Qtr 3 Qtr 4 Qtr Year Actual 09/99 EPS $0.10A $0.11A $0.12A $0.13A $0.45A Previous 09/00 EPS $0.14A $0.15E $0.17E $0.18E $0.64E Current 09/00 EPS $0.14A $0.15E $0.17E $0.18E $0.64E Previous 09/01 EPS $0.19E $0.20E $0.22E $0.23E $0.84E Current 09/01 EPS $0.19E $0.20E $0.22E $0.23E $0.84E Previous 09/02 EPS $N/A $N/A $N/A $N/A $N/A Current 09/02 EPS $N/A $N/A $N/A $N/A $N/A Footnotes: --FUNDAMENTALS-------------------------------------------------------------- Current Rank........:2H Prior:No Change Price (02/28/00)....:$91.63 P/E Ratio 09/00.....:143.2x Target Price..:$100.00 Prior:40.00 P/E Ratio 09/01.....:109.1x Proj.5yr EPS Grth...:40.0% Return on Eqty 99...:N/A% Book Value/Shr(00)..:3.12 LT Debt-to-Capital(a)0.5% Dividend............:$N/A Revenue (00)........:407.80mil Yield...............:N/A% Shares Outstanding..:169.8mil Convertible.........:No Mkt. Capitalization.:15558.8mil Hedge Clause(s).....: Comments............:(a) Data as of the most recently reported quarter. Comments............: --OPINION:------------------------------------------------------------------ We are raising the targets on seven of the stocks in our coverage universe based on the strength of demand for communications components. The stocks include AMCC, PMC- Sierra, Altera, Xilinx, LSI Logic, Broadcom, and Vitesse Semiconductor. While the Internet IC stocks have been extraordinarily strong over the last few months, we believe investors' appetite for the group will continue to overwhelm valuation concerns. By any measure, few other areas possess the growth, upside potential, and profitability of the Internet IC area. For example, we believe companies such as AMCC, Broadcom, and PMC-Sierra could potentially double sales this year and next, wreaking havoc with traditional valuation screens. In general, we believe there remains very good upside potential to the current quarter and long-term EPS consensus estimates. Recent watershed events reinforce the impression that we are still in the early stages of the Internet infrastructure build-out, highlighting the sustainability of demand for Internet ICs. For example, Level 3's multi- billion deal suggests leading carriers may continue to have access to capital markets even in times of stock market stress. In addition, Monday's announcement that auto manufacturers plan to push a quarter trillion dollars worth of transactions across the Web suggests even Old Economy companies are moving from "bricks" to "clicks." On average, we have raised our price targets on the Internet IC companies five times over the last twelve months, and we would expect similar positive revisions this year. In other words, we would not use the nearness of a price target as a reason to sell one of these stocks. Nevertheless, valuation remains the biggest risk for the group, and the stocks are vulnerable to any potential NASDAQ sell-off. We are raising our Vitesse price target from $40 to $100.