SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Technology Stocks : Gemstar Intl (GMST) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: MulhollandDrive who wrote (2148)2/29/2000 10:41:00 AM
From: Teflon  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 6516
 
Hard to give a singular answer to this. It's the combination of watching the large block trades, understanding the normal trading pattern of the stock from having followed it for so long, having friends that may or may not know of certain institutional trading patterns in the stock, etc...

It's really an art not a science!!! But with no concrete decision points!



To: MulhollandDrive who wrote (2148)2/29/2000 11:37:00 AM
From: Jeff Bond  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 6516
 
You can subscribe to Investor Business Daily, and get a good look at that.

Go to the 2nd section, and look at the table documenting mutual funds that have compiled the best returns over a period of time. After isolating the winners (Janus, FMR, etc.), you can monitor the tables that show their current holdings, and based on changes published, determine with fair confidence where they are shifting their money.

It is updated regularly but obviously not daily, so by watching the tables, you begin to see patterns, as well as how they shift into industry groups, capitalization sectors, and specific companies over time.

Regards, JB



To: MulhollandDrive who wrote (2148)3/1/2000 1:38:00 AM
From: spiral3  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 6516
 
bp: OT but I have never seen any data that confirms this. fwiw: a little voodo if it interests you.

Negative Volume Technical Indicator

Definition
Negative volume index (NVI) is based on the theory that trading by unsophisticated investors occurs predominantly on days of high volume while sophisticated investors trade during quieter periods of declining volume. Thus, a negative change in volume reflects buying and selling of stocks by those "in the know".

NVI is calculated by adding the stock's percentage gain or loss to the previous value whenever the volume drops from the preceding period. Usually, stock prices drop whenever the volume drops. However, when the stock price rises on lower volume days, it is considered very positive.

Interpretation
If the NVI is trending upward, probability favors the stock's continuing to rise.
If the NVI is trending downward, it is ambiguous.

Here is a one year chart for GMST. tscn.com

Disclaimer
Be aware that technical analysis is not foolproof and frequently produces bad signals. They should not be used as an automated buy and sell program but as a tool to enhance your probability of holding winning stocks. All technical analysis is based on mathematical calculations and, as such, no investment decision should be based solely on its conclusions.