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Strategies & Market Trends : Gorilla and King Portfolio Candidates -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: mtnlady who wrote (19072)2/29/2000 11:08:00 PM
From: Mike Buckley  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 54805
 
THIS MONTH IN THE FRONT OFFICE:
The Front Office Gorilla Game


This month the primary subject I want to bring to light is the stuff that's buried in the numbers. So let's get right to 'em.

Just a tad shy of being a six-bagger, our Game conveniently closed out the month at an all-time high. Though it began with just $10,000 (not real funds) on May 25, 1998, the numbers look pretty darned impressive today.


Stocks $53,528.81
Cash $5,497.58
Total $59,026.39


It will come as no surprise to regulars around here that the Game is walloping the indexes:

History
History Year Annualized
Gorilla Game 490.26% 44.48% 186.33%
Nasdaq 160.20% 15.42% 76.23%
Russell 2000 24.78% 14.45% 14.02%
S&P 500 23.05% -7.00% 13.08%


The Game is now outperforming the super-strong Naz by more than 3-to-1. On an annualized basis, by about 2.5-to-1. (Only mathemagician knows why the ratios aren't the same.) The Game is outperforming the broad market by a 21-to-1 margin.

Simply awesome.

That's the game. Now the details about the two remaining players.


5/25/98 5/1/98 Change
% of Buy Buy Average 2/29/00 from
Portfolio Price Price Cost Price 5/25/98
RMDY 21.6% $17.44 $17.50 $17.46 $55.69 225.04%
SEBL 69.1% $11.50 $19.22 $13.55 $138.69 1105.98%



For some fun, focus on the two columns at the far right (above) and take a look at those same columns (below) as they appeared at the end of January:


Change
1/31/00 from
Price 5/25/98
RMDY $40.44 131.87%
SEBL $91.06 691.85%


During February, Remedy increased 38%. Siebel increased 52%. More important to long-term investors, Remedy went from being more than a two-bagger last month to being more than a three-bagger today. Last month Siebel was just shy of an 8-bagger and ... DING DING DING ... this month became our first 12-bagger.

Folks, that's a 12-bagger in only 21 months! Nobody loves the stock of a consumer-based, enabling technology more than I, but the stock of a business-based applications technology that increases twelve-fold in less than two years ain't no slouch.

The Usual Details and Caveats

Commissions are based on $8 per trade. Interest earned on cash is not accounted for because doing so wouldn't meaningfully alter the outcome of the Game. It's not real money involved; it's only a Game.

I've owned long and short positions in front office stocks in the past and reserve the right to do so in the future. I presently own a long position in Siebel Systems, one of the stocks discussed above. Please don't buy or sell anything based on anything you see coming from my keyboard.

See ya next month!

--Mike Buckley