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To: Think4Yourself who wrote (61183)3/1/2000 2:57:00 PM
From: Brian P.  Respond to of 95453
 
March 01, 2000

Crude Oil Hits New Nine-Year High

By JENNIFER FRIEDLIN
NYTimes.com/TheStreet.com, 1:25 p.m.

Crude oil prices surged to a new
nine-year high on Wednesday after
a report, later denied, that the
Organization of Petroleum Exporting
Countries would raise production by 1.2
million barrels per day starting April 1.

April crude oil futures were up 89 cents,
or 2.92 percent, at $31.32 a barrrel at
midday, the highest level since the Persian
Gulf War, when crude hit $32.75.

The news report "gave us a
now-you-see-it, now-you-don't look at
one possible scenario for an increase in
production," said Tim Evans, senior
energy analyst at Pegasus Econometric
Group. "But the market still felt that 1.2
million barrels wasn't enough."

Higher gasoline futures prices, which rose
on the heels of reports of a drop in inventories and a refinery fire at a BP
Amoco refinery in Indiana, also contributed to the rise in crude prices.

Evans said he was currently waiting for signals from London, where oil
ministers from cartel member nations Saudi Arabia and Venezuela and
non-OPEC Mexico were scheduled to meet on Thursday. Earlier on
Wednesday, Reuters reported that these countries would propose raising
OPEC's supply in April.

Venezuela later denied the report.

Aware that higher oil prices would push clients such as the U.S., to seek
oil supplies from non-OPEC sources, some OPEC members have,
however, signaled that they favor working to bring prices back into the
optimal range of $25-$30 per barrel.

But Evans said he did not think any decisions would be made before
OPEC's March 27 meeting in Vienna.

"There's no indication there is a consensus within OPEC," he said.
"Consensus will only be arrived at over strudel at the face-to-face
meeting in Vienna."

Saudi Arabia, Venezuela and Kuwait are thought to be more amenable
to loosening the reins on supply, while Iran, Libya and Algeria are seen
opposing production increases.

Market watchers said it was difficult to forecast the next resistance level
for crude oil prices due the current climate of uncertainty.

"This market has reached a point where no specific price level means
anything," Evans said. "If prices are 10 cents higher, does that mean that
the market is more bullish than now?"