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Technology Stocks : CRUS, good buy? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: ptrader who wrote (7573)3/2/2000 12:28:00 AM
From: pokysconductor  Respond to of 8193
 
Ptrader,

From the fabless view point fewer high integrated chips which bring larger revenues makes a better match.

Regards,

Pokyscon.



To: ptrader who wrote (7573)3/2/2000 12:31:00 AM
From: Grand Poobah  Respond to of 8193
 
Good guess but the real number is 284,615 chips/day.

So you're telling me that CRUS's ASP is >$8 per chip? Based on last quarter's run rate of $150m and your figure of 284k chips/day, I get an ASP of $8.15. That seems rather high to me, especially considering that a large number of those chips are sub-$2 DAC's and ADC's, sub-$5 audio codecs, and sub-$5 read channels. I would guess that their volume of sub-$5 chips would be at least three to five times (ballpark) their volume of over-$5 chips. The volume of over-$15 chips would be smaller yet. That's why I picked an ASP of $3. An ASP anywhere $2-5 would make sense to me, but $8 seems awfully high given the competitive realities of most of the existing CRUS markets.

I agree with you about the beauty of mass production, though. And with the constant need to move toward more-integrated (and also higher functionality) designs. Unfortunately, once you have competition, the ASP's will fall on any chip, eventually also on the new designs. It is a constant battle.

Regards,
G.P.



To: ptrader who wrote (7573)3/2/2000 8:27:00 AM
From: Toni Wheeler  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 8193
 
From TVEyes this morning:

CNBC 3/2/00 - 6:35:52 AM ..... >> Intergrated circuit manufacturer, cirrus logic is expected to announce it has created an antipiracy audio chip. The chip allows a music studio to limit the number of times music can be played back on a web-based audio player in the mp3 format. Users are able to download a music file from the internet, however, the chip can restrict the number of times the file may be played before the user must send a payment to the studio. Cirrus logic ended yesterday up 3/16 to 21. Bob: The music industry is afraid of mp3.<<