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Technology Stocks : Xilinx (XLNX) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: A. Edwards who wrote (2462)3/14/2000 7:58:00 PM
From: Maverick  Respond to of 3291
 
SSB:Raising XLNX Target from $65 to $100
Excerpts follow
We are raising the targets on seven of the stocks in our coverage
universe based on the strength of demand for communications components.
The stocks include AMCC, PMC-Sierra, Altera, Xilinx, LSI Logic, Broadcom,
and Vitesse Semiconductor.
While the Internet IC stocks have been extraordinarily strong over the
last few months, we believe investors' appetite for the group will
continue to overwhelm valuation concerns. By any measure, few other
areas possess the growth, upside potential, and profitability of the
Internet IC area. For example, we believe companies such as AMCC,
Broadcom, and PMC-Sierra could potentially double sales this year and
next, wreaking havoc with traditional valuation screens. In general, we
believe there remains very good upside potential to the current quarter
and long-term EPS consensus estimates.
Recent watershed events reinforce the impression that we are still in the
early stages of the Internet infrastructure build-out, highlighting the
sustainability of demand for Internet ICs. For example, Level 3's
multi-billion deal suggests leading carriers may continue to have access
to capital markets even in times of stock market stress. In addition,
Monday's announcement that auto manufacturers plan to push a quarter
trillion dollars worth of transactions across the Web suggests even Old
Economy companies are moving from "bricks" to "clicks."
On average, we have raised our price targets on the Internet IC companies
five times over the last twelve months, and we would expect similar
positive revisions this year. In other words, we would not use the
nearness of a price target as a reason to sell one of these stocks.
Nevertheless, valuation remains the biggest risk for the group, and the
stocks are vulnerable to any potential NASDAQ sell-off.
We are raising our Xilinx price target from $65 to $100.



To: A. Edwards who wrote (2462)3/14/2000 8:06:00 PM
From: Maverick  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 3291
 
ML:XLNX Winning the Race to Copper; Raising Estimates
Merrill Lynch's Excerpts follow:
Investment Highlights:
ú Our checks in the channel indicate that Xilinx
will shortly be introducing the industry?s first
programmable logic devices (PLDs) based on
copper interconnect technology. We believe
this introduction places the company six-to-twelve
months ahead of the competition in
deploying copper-based devices.
ú Additionally, our checks indicate that the
company is seeing a particularly strong
Virtex-E product ramp, particularly at
wireless network infrastructure suppliers. In
fact, we believe Xilinx has gained superior
product positioning over the competition at
virtually all of the wireless infrastructure
suppliers with its Virtex and Virtex-E devices.
ú Given our belief that the company is in the
very early stages of a strong new product
cycle, its flawless execution in new product
introductions, and strength in core networking
and telecommunications end markets, we look
for an acceleration in design wins and
bookings moving forward. Accordingly, we
are raising our F01 revenue and EPS
estimates from $1.31 billion and $0.94 to
$1.36 billion and $0.97 and our F02 estimates
from $1.71 billion and $1.21 to $1.76 billion
and $1.24.

We reiterate our intermediate and long-term Buy
ratings on XLNX.

Fundamental Highlights:
ú These 0.18 micron copper-interconnect
devices ? extensions of the Virtex-E family ?
raise the bar on performance and memory
capability of Xilinx?s highest-density, highest-performance
PLDs, making them ideal for
bandwidth-critical networking applications.
ú We believe these devices will be sampling soon
and already are being designed in at major
networking and telecommunications
customers. We expect a formal product
announcement early next quarter.
ú This rollout of copper-based products
continues Xilinx?s track record of flawless new
product execution and pave the way for the
company?s next generation of PLDs ? named
Virtex-II ? that are slated to be produced on
a 0.15 micron, copper-interconnect process
and should be available in the second half
of C00.



To: A. Edwards who wrote (2462)3/14/2000 8:15:00 PM
From: Maverick  Respond to of 3291
 
CSFB:Raising Seq.Growth to 10%,ST Jan/Feb,ST BUY
CREDIT SUISSE FIRST BOSTON CORPORATIONEquity ResearchAmericas
U.S./Technology/SemiconductorsSTRONG BUYLARGE CAPUSD 74.6875Xilinx, Inc. (XLNX)
Quarter Update: Raising Growth to 10%.Summary
Yesterday, Xilinx gave its quarter update based on February sales. The
company stated that February was another strong month, highlighted by better
than expected sales from the company's advanced products. Based on the
February results, the company increased its sequential revenue guidance to 10%,
up from the original 7% guidance given on the conference call in January
and the revised high single-digits guidance given on the update in the
beginning of February. Based on this revision, we believe that Xilinx is on
track to exceed our FQ4:00 revenue and EPS estimates of $283.8 million and
$0.21, respectively.
As a reminder, Xilinx stated on its conference call in January that it
increased its internal inventory by 5 days (to the high end of its 70-90 day
target at 88 days) in anticipation of increased activity from distributors
and the ramp of Virtex. Based on the January and February data, we believe
this action was well timed and will allow the company to meet or exceed the
revised guidance for the quarter. Xilinx also stated that business from
communications original equipment manufacturers continues to rebound and will
be up for the quarter, driven by production orders for Virtex. All
geographies were up sequentially for the month.
A leader in FPGAs with a complete PLD solution offering, we believe Xilinx
will outperform the overall semiconductor market and the PLD market forecasts
in CY2000. Based on the revised guidance, we believe Xilinx is positioned to
exceed our estimated revenue growth of 41.7% and 31.1% for CY2000 and CY2001,
respectively. Accordingly, we reiterate our STRONG BUY rating.



To: A. Edwards who wrote (2462)3/14/2000 8:19:00 PM
From: Maverick  Respond to of 3291
 
HQ:inits XLNX BUY,target $85
XLNX: Initiating Coverage with a Buy Rating & Price Target of $85, 2/28/00
* The Internet infrastructure buildout continues to fuel growth for the
company's products in the areas of communications - telecom & networking (67%
of total revenues last quarter), and data processing (19%). 86% of the
company's revenues last quarter came from products targeted at fast growing
applications enabling the continued buildout of the Internet such as routers,
ATM switches, cellular base stations, wireless communications, and mass storage.
* The company's new Virtex family (a total of 9 devices) that was introduced
to the marketplace in late 1998 continues to be the fastest growing product
family in the company's history. We believe that the Virtex family since its
introduction has already generated revenues (mostly prototype) in excess of
$100 million. We believe that the company is just starting to see in the
current quarter the initial ramp up of production orders from its customers on
Virtex. We expect Virtex to generate revenues in excess of $250 million in the
company's next fiscal year, which starts next quarter.
* Xilinx should be the first Programmable Logic company to post $1.0 billion
in revenues after this quarter and its fiscal year ends.
* We believe that the company saw a general sluggishness in the past Dec:99
quarter in terms of "new orders activity" slowing down during the quarter
primarily due to Y2K related excess inventory accumulation in the channel. New
order activity has picked up significantly again in the current quarter. We
believe that the company is back in a growth mode again moving forward.
* We are extremely bullish about the company's future in the next fiscal year,
2001, that starts next quarter and expect it to post another 50% y/y revenue
growth rate.
* We are initiating coverage with a BUY rating and price target of $85, or 65
times our fiscal year 2002 EPS estimate of $1.30.