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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Dwight E. Karlsen who wrote (42078)	3/3/2000 12:40:00 AM
From: AlanH	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 99985

Dwight, re:demand for cars/gasoline... "And it seems as though Americans are determined to demand more and more new cars, which, of course, implies the demand for more and more gasoline." This seems simplistic and wrong, since it doesn't take into consideration the number of old cars being scrapped. I have yet to find someone who can drive two cars at the same time. The old one is going to be parked, traded-in, or sold. If traded-in or sold, yes, when it sells, the new buyer is going to drive it. However, their previous car is going to go through the same process, until you have someone who buys a car, then calls a junk-car processor to come pick up their previous car..voila, no new net driving. It's late, so maybe I'm missing something, but... are you assuming zero growth in population?