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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Allen Furlan who wrote (10124)3/4/2000 9:22:00 PM
From: Mike McFarland  Respond to of 78525
 
(arbitrage opportunity)

Short answer--don't know, folks may want to
just skip this message.

Long answer:

Sorry, don't know. I ascribe to the K.I.S.S.
method of investing--seems like a good solid
old economy play and the contrarian in me
found it while it was dirt cheap, may stay
cheap for a little while, but not willing to
bet that shares can be had much lower.

In my job as a government weather forecaster
(which I intend to quit soon if my stock perform
just a little longer for me...) I have found that
the people with the most elaborate explanations
for why an event will or will not occur, are
generally overthinking the problem--or are simply
full of shit. I adopted KISS to keep sane on the job.

I am not saying that there are not many ways to play
these stocks, and certainly not saying that "arbitrage"
is not a reasonable way of making some money, but I
really could even define the word for you!

I bought BNI because I like the business and the
merger, oil is a bit pricy so profits should again
be up as shipping by truck becomes unreasonable,
and someday Amtrack is going to be taken off the
lines somehow--it is not reasonable for these
fellas to pull over for these passenger trains (and
when a solution is found I look back on my investment
with great satisfaction.) I only am in for "half" of
a position, a couple thousand shares for me.

Also, BNI is the opposite of my biotechs--perfect
way to diversify. I have not read the Yahoo thread,
I'll bet there are a lot of thoughts over there which
are a lot better informed than my own!

I am probably a bit early diversifying--I was 100%
biotech just a few weeks ago. I'll probably be down
to 25% by the top of this run up in biotech, which
should be a couple months away. I'll probably keep
adding these old economy value stocks all along
the way.