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To: Boplicity who wrote (7172)3/7/2000 6:47:00 AM
From: Glenn McDougall  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 24042
 
Perhaps this may help explain what is going on in this market.

Wrong! Tactics and Strategies: Making Sense of a Two-Tiered Market

By James J. Cramer

3/6/00 9:24 PM ET

When you have giant pools of capital competing for a handful of stocks
with a very small float, you get monstrous moves, irrespective of what
the Dow Jones or S&P 500 do. On days like today we have to fight to
keep some names on because the natural tendency is to believe that,
eventually, they have to come for everything.

We own a stock that was up 30 points today right into the chaos that
was a pretty ugly day. We wanted to sell it because we figured, "What
right does that stock have to be up so much on a day like today?"

But we then put ourselves in the heads of the buyers. They saw "the
story" last week at Robbie Stephens. They did the work on the stock.
And they probably run billions of dollars each. If they were to buy
only 5,000 or 10,000 shares of this company, it would mean nothing to
them. It would be a bad use of their time and resources. They can only
justify a minimum position of 100,000 shares. That's where the
fireworks come in.

These managers know that they cannot possibly stop buying a stock once
they buy it. Someone else will buy it and take it up if they don't. We
all like the same stories. We all know that these stocks are headed
higher because the demand is so great for them.

So they queue up with a broker and they give him a working order to get
100,000 shares in. Every day they re-enter the order and every day they
buy a little more. The order has nothing to do with the Dow Jones or
the S&P -- it has to do with the company they are buying. They are
impervious to the selling going on around them. All they are supposed
to do is get the stock in.

Now, I am not impervious to the selling. I see it. I am not immune to
the pain of the market even if I may, from time to time, be immune to
the pain of a stock. So, my first reaction had historically been to
say: Those buyers ought to look at their screens; don't they see the
carnage? And I would hit them with stock.

But that's not how it works anymore. These giant pools of capital can't
keep one eye on the macro or one eye on the Dow. Their mantra is to
"get it in." So days like today, hard days for the S&P, are just like
any other days. They are just days to buy.

And that's how you get this ridiculous two-tiered market.

*****

James J. Cramer is manager of a hedge fund and co-founder of
TheStreet.com. At time of publication, his fund had no positions in any
stocks mentioned. His fund often buys and sells securities that are the
subject of his columns, both before and after the columns are
published, and the positions that his fund takes may change at any
time. Under no circumstances does the information in this column
represent a recommendation to buy or sell stocks. Cramer's writings
provide insights into the dynamics of money management and are not a
solicitation for transactions. While he cannot provide investment
advice or recommendations, he invites you to comment on his column at
jjcletters@thestreet.com.