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Technology Stocks : Wind River going up, up, up! -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Benjamin Ostrom who wrote (7437)3/8/2000 10:00:00 PM
From: Don Lloyd  Respond to of 10309
 
Ben -

[[No, fiscal 2000 revs were $171 million. Over a 4 year basis, it has to rise 55 % p.a. to 1 billion in 4 years. I agree that eps can be all over the place, esp. since an rapidly growing company has to heavily invest (this is the reason for many analysts to look more to the top line in periods of extreme growth - companies probably promote this to stabilize their stock pattern). But in the end, regardless of EPS volatility, it catches up with the averages if the margins don't deteriorate. So far, the operating margins are pretty stable over the course of WRS history, so if the top line continues at a breathtaking pace, we have a lot higher to go over each of the next 4 years.]]

You DO realize that within the next few weeks WRS revenues will start to be treated as the combination of WIND and INTS revenues going forward?

If two identical companies were to be merged within the next year, would it make sense to call that a 100% annual growth rate?

WIND's acquisitions strategy is not intended to directly boost a growth rate per se, but rather to achieve a critical mass to enable it to address the full range of opportunities available. If successful, this WILL result in a growth rate that reflects both the growth of the customer industries and the increased penetration of the in-house development market, but relating the growth rate to merged total revenues is misleading in that it ignores the share count increase that accompanies the mergers.

Regards, Don



To: Benjamin Ostrom who wrote (7437)3/9/2000 8:23:00 AM
From: Carpe per Diem  Respond to of 10309
 
Ben, FY99 revenue does not include INTS revenue ($90 Million), nor the revenue from their latest acquistion ($25 Million). Add those in and you a sales base of $300 Million. Your calculations ignore their revenue and as a result you are expecting unrealistic growth rates, given what management is telling us to expect.

Rinks