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Strategies & Market Trends : Rande Is . . . HOME -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Rande Is who wrote (22041)3/9/2000 3:03:00 PM
From: Steven Finkel  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 57584
 
Great job Rande!

Your work has certainly benefitted MANY on the thread. I just wanted to re-visit the RDOC/RDOCW issue, for a learning experience for the thread:

RDOC today is up 6.5%
RDOCW today is up 35.53% and continues to trade at a healthy multiple to its current "intrinsic" value.

I bring it up NOT to say, hey look I was right, because that benefits NO ONE. Instead, I simply hope people recognize the unique leverage that RDOCW affords the investor, and it is my opinion that this leverage is what allows the warrant to trade ahead of itself. What do I mean? Follow this:

RDOC was identified by you (Rande) some time ago and has already returned roughly 35% to those who were fortunate enough to buy the stock when you included it in the ultra aggressive port (or before). But follow my reasoning here:
you (rande) don't put stocks in your ultra aggressive port so that they can return only 35% for the year. 350% tends to be more of your target. All that aside, when you couple the fact that RDOC has dramatically inreased their sales, has earnings coming out soon, has a one year rough target of 6-8 given by yourself, and clearly is attracting some momentum play, I say to myself, hmmm..... IF RDOC hits 7, then the warrant's INTRINSIC value is 7*2= 14-5.74= 8.25, which was well ahead of its price of 2 just two days ago. SO: Even though the warrant was trading "ahead" of itself, and still is, I decided that it was a healthy risk that at some point RDOC would hit 7, which would return 133% on the common, or 400% on the warrant. Again, it is the unique terms of this warrant that makes it so powerfull. I hope that some have taken advantage of this discussion over the past few days.

Being fair, I will add that warrants often trade at lower volumes and have less liquidity. They often also carry larger spreads which can be frustrating.



To: Rande Is who wrote (22041)3/9/2000 3:08:00 PM
From: Sye Walsh  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 57584
 
Copy of a post from RB on 3/9/2000
ragingbull.com
Weekly Second Opinion - AKLM
03/06/00

Symbol: AKLM
Name: ACCLAIM ENTERTAINMEN
Exchange: NMS
PRICE ANALYSIS Wk. Close 5.94
Wk. Open 4.55
Wk. High 6.47
Wk. Low 4.50
Wk. Change 1.56
YrHigh 9.31
YrLow 3.00
Mo Chg (%) 66.9
Resistance N/A
Support 5.50
SELL STOP 2.75
Volatility (%) 11
Position 84
ADXR 32

OPINION C-Rate 0.0
LONG
03/06/00 5.94

VOLUME ANALYSIS Ave Daily Vol 18599
Mo Chg (%) -2.7 *
U/D 1.0 Slope UP
Obv BR *
Pos Obv BL
Neg Obv BL
MFI 84 Slope UP

UPGRADED

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Alpha -0.07
Beta 0.87
MACD-ST BL
MACD-LT BL
50-Day R.S. 1.18
10-Day M.A. UP 126
21-Day M.A. UP 146
50-Day M.A. UP 142
200-Day M.A. DOWN 96
STO(Slow %K) 77
STO(Fast %K) 73
Wilders-RSI 83
OBOS 1
Bollinger Bands 109
RSV 24
POWER RATING 84

SCORE = 0

COMMENT

Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) indicates a BULLISH TREND
Chart pattern indicates a STRONG UPWARD TREND
Relative Strength is BULLISH
Up/Down volume pattern indicates that the stock is under ACCUMULATION
The 50 day MOVING AVERAGE is rising which is BULLISH
The 200 day MOVING AVERAGE is falling which is BEARISH
LOOK FOR SUPPORT AT 5.50

RECOMMENDATION

STOCK IS A BUY

Market Edge & Second Opinion are neither offers to sell nor solicitations of offers to buy any security.
See User Agreement for other disclaimers.

How come these guys and their buddies can't figure it out as fast as you Rande?



To: Rande Is who wrote (22041)3/10/2000 11:33:00 AM
From: BANCHEE  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 57584
 
All
Anyone have any idea why NXUS is going bongo...
Banchee