Silicon Investor (SI) -- The First Internet Community

STOCKTALK

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor. We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community. If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.

Strategies & Market Trends : Group Therapy -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Wolf 2 who wrote (800)	3/10/2000 3:28:00 PM
From: Duane L. Olson	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 4564

Wolf... Sharp eye on NERX..they did at least fling a few thoughts at the other NERX prospects (which I failed to see in the wee hours of the a.m.).. As for the analytical technique....at least the probability model -- that part is a valid technique. At least roughly, the value of success times the probability of success, and the value in case of failure time the probability of failure do give you a "ball park" on a future value. These guys, however, use a 35% interest rate (implied) to do the Present Value (PV) analysis portion of the assessment.. I wouldn't normally use such a high implied rate of return. I passed the comments just to indicate the "possible" valuation of my current speculation... Because that is very close to the model I used on LTXX about 18 months ago... It can be a useful tool if you have a long term view and a stongly speculative bent <GG>... I bought a bunch of NERX between 26 3/8 and 26 5/8 today, but have an average price close to 30... It could turn out to be a bust, but I don't think so...we will see in a few months... (I hope) <G> Tso