Jim, I'm glad you brought up the part about your being a carpenter. It was on my mind earlier, but I didn't think anyone would be interested. The fact is, however, that mounting the older variants of infrared transceivers used to be a bear. Precision of orientation and long term stability was paramount, and freeness from instantaneous vibrations was equally crucial. Each time that I recall systems being installed they required expert carpentry (especially in well appointed offices), and/or the coordinated mounting of two inch pipes which served as masts into floor slabs in order to ensure that these qualities were met.
To make matters more interesting, when these are mounted in open office spaces they often require some form of baffle in order to hide them from open view, or to prevent them from clashing with the decor.
One other piece of trivia before we get to your questions, is the amount of speculation that these things can cause if they are not explained adequately at the time they are installed:
Pregnant women will immediately question the effects of these devices on their yet unborn children, and jokes about sterility are bound to proliferate, as well as some more serious concerns on the parts of employees about eye safety, just to give you an idea of some of the potential fun that awaits the HR folks in early adopter firms. All of these examples are legitimate experiences I've had, by the way. No kidding around here. ----------
The amount of hops from click to central node shouldn't matter theoretically, since the potential exists for each hop to be sped along at the speed of light, literally. But these enhancements will not matter here, any more or less than over other forms of media, if the new i-r provider doesn't adequately size their pipes and processing capacity to the larger net.
They can have all the bandwidth in the universe available to a given building, and if they don't have a commensurate scale of bandwidth pointing to the core, it will be useless for all situations except those where the other end point of the connection is also on-net to the IR cloud.
Even here it would depend on how good of a job they did when provisioning their own central node plumbing: their switch pipe and port sizings / router processors / switch-blocking factors / buffering / caching/ etc.
The patterns (topologies) that they will have to choose from in big city settings may more often than not be chaotic in nature, rather than being coherent ones, except for those nice round circles we see on paper indicating where their node sites, or cells as they call them, will be located. And yes, they will resort to in-building and building-to-building repeater links, reflectors, and even cutting deals with landlords and adjacent tenants to allow fiber runs between different parcels of real estate in order to get their prospect du jour onto the "good side" of the building. ------
Do the RF folks have a lot to worry about? Here's a message that I wrote on the Gildertech Forum earlier today that addresses some of these concerns.
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posted: Sunday, March 12, 2000 03:05:55 PM -- author: Frank C <Fcoluccio@dticonsulting.com> subject:GG: Demise? Or, a lifting of all boats?
Hello George and All,
This is in reply to both EJB's earlier question concerning the demise of existing technology plays, and to your assessment of what the rise of Terabeam would mean in this same context, per this month's GTR [report].
I've just replied to a similar question which was posted earlier today concerning what the effects would be to MFNX if Terabeam were to be successful. The same reply will hold true here, and that is that all boats will rise above the banks of the river if and when this free space, or any other last mile/last 1000 ft. technology, is universally successful to the levels that have been implied.
I understand your enthusiasm here, but I believe that you may have taken this a bit too far when you begin to predict the demise of other established technologies at this time. Speaking as a networkologist, it would be very narrow and somewhat reckless for me and my colleagues to follow any blanket assumption that all Terabeam users would be conversing ONLY with other Terabeam users. Especially during the next several years, prior to their having time to penetrate widely, assuming, for the sake of discussion, that they will. Things just don't work that way:
For every yottabit of incremental traffic that is added to overall Internet traffic -- enabled, say, only by the cheaper bandwidth afforded by the Terabeam system -- there will be some corresponding increase in terms of terabits of capacity added to backup --or load sharing systems-- which might not have happened at all in the absence of a Terabeam primary route, or some similarly abundant source of bandwidth which might eventually be enabled by a wdm arrangement over dark fiber, when it becomes more accessible to more users.
Here, the determination of which will be a primary or contingency route will inevitably wind up being a judgment call, based on the criticality of the applications being supported, and other factors having to do with the specific technological attributes of any proposed solution, such as distance, unobstructed views and weather issues, in this case.
If the type of traffic activity in question can withstand falling back to lower levels of capacity periodically, based on criticality assessments --which will usually mean falling back to some more expensive route per unit of capacity, albeit at lower capacity, when the primary-- then the Terabeam system would be the primary, and fixed wireless or fiber would be the secondary. But it would call for an appropriate level of risk analysis to sort this out for any given user's situation. Given how businesses value their communications links now, I'd suspect that in many cases the infrared solution will prove in as a backup solution, more often than as a primary. For residential? Maybe an even toss at first, but I suspect primary over time, where it is available for entertainment and casual surfer needs, for the cost conscious and bandwidth starved if they can get it.
Getting back to the prospect of business/e-commerce users abandoning alternative means, conversely, it is likely that until TB is truly ubiquitous (assuming, again, that this would ever be the case), most of their users would be conversing with web sites and other private users who are "NOT" on Terbium's system. What do you suppose these other end users will be using if they are not using Terabeam, in the face of this projected incremental tsunami of traffic which will be engendered by Terabeam's presence where it "IS" available? Run the numbers, and then you tell me who is going to be toast. I'll take mine with jam.
The implications of universal free space infrared system coverage could only be covered by many discussions over a wide array of topics that would be beyond the scope of this board. Suffice it to say that I have been a believer and a user of line of sight infrared systems going back many years. I have lived with both its joys and its perils in both brokerage and educational settings. I strongly recommend it for backup scenarios, based primarily on statistical unlikelihoods, and would be very cautious with it where mission critical systems were involved, except possibly in the role of a secondary, or even a tertiary, backup utility.
Some of the reasons for this stem from the actual physical characteristics of these systems in the face of sometimes hostile surroundings, and some of the reasons have to do the perceptions of upper management, and what will or wont pass the audit criteria found on the controller's and corporate security officer's checklists.
FACts |