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To: tero kuittinen who wrote (3764)	3/12/2000 2:09:00 PM
From: Peter J Hudson	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 34857

Tero, I think I detected you making some predictions in your last post. >>all of these models will have to be replaced when GPRS arrives commercially this Christmas and quadruples the transmission speed.<< Are you saying that there will be commercial quantities of GPRS phones, operating at 4X 9.6k = 38.4k, eight months from now? Do you think it is significant that existing CDMA networks in Japan and Korea support 64k data now? >>And then these phones will have to be replaced when EDGE arrives 12 months later.<< So edge won't be deployed until 2002? What will the data rate be for the initial EDGE deployments? Here in the backward ol'USA, where GPRS / EDGE will compete head to head with 1XRTT, what do you predict the outcome to be? Which system do you think will have a competitive advantage? Highest data rates? Most efficient use of spectrum? I know that the US is an insignificant market, but it might make a good test market. Always appreciate your views. Pete