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Strategies & Market Trends : DAYTRADING Fundamentals -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: ahhaha who wrote (7341)3/12/2000 6:09:00 PM
From: OZ  Respond to of 18137
 
Yet it is you who need all of them

I like and respect what you have posed. But the quote above
leaves me asking: Are you a "you" or a "them" or some holy
body above us all (perhaps the ghost of Livermore himself).
Seems like it should read "WE that need THEM" or "YOU that needs ME"....

TIA,
OZ



To: ahhaha who wrote (7341)3/12/2000 6:10:00 PM
From: gaj  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 18137
 
i'll throw this out for a counter of a small smidgen of your post..

brokerage firm A comes out and says "STRONG BUY on Joe's Widgets". people flock to buy the stock - and all day, on L2, is brokerage firm A on the ask.

my feeling is once you accept that things like that can happen, and think like the market makers (which i'm trying to do), you can do better in the market...but i think the above is one case of the deceit evident in the market.

btw, thanks for your posts on this thread. there's a photograph of livermore in sarnoff's book, taken previous day of his suicide...



To: ahhaha who wrote (7341)3/12/2000 6:39:00 PM
From: Dave O.  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 18137
 
< What evidence can anyone produce that they were "ripped off"? >

Well, I think we can start with the NASDAQ Market Makers Antitrsut Litigation that was settled for about $1 billion if I'm not mistaken. Somehow 24 MM's who apparently conspired to widen spreads agreed to settle the case.

< I am telling you that greed is intrinsic to all humans. >

Wrong! Perhaps the majority may be but not all. I for one, am not! I trade for a living, to support myself. I know what I need to make to pay the bills. And when I have a decent day (or week) I leave it behind, whether it be mid-morning, noon or the afternoon. I have no desire to try to make more $$$ if I've already achieved my goals. And I've watched many traders who keep trading give it all back by days end. There's a lot more to life than trading (and money) and I feel fortunate that I can pursue the other areas after working the equivalent of part time.

< As for brokers, investment bankers, etc., ... if you believe that any of them is operating in any deceitful way >

Hey, anyone who's been around knows that you have firms that might have a strong buy on a stock as they are unloading it. And I imagine some people do consider such deceitful.

Dave



To: ahhaha who wrote (7341)3/12/2000 10:21:00 PM
From: Dominick  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 18137
 
Ahhaha:

Perhaps you can clear up some points for me.

1-Since 85% of the volume is created by large institutions such as money managers,who make their own decisions, how does public greed affect the market?

2-Market makers, (not the traders who work for the firm),
sit on the boards of many large corporations, and are privy to inside information. Will they use their position
for the firm's advantage?

Regards,

Dominick



To: ahhaha who wrote (7341)3/14/2000 1:10:00 AM
From: Dan Duchardt  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 18137
 
ahhaha,

A few things need to be addressed.

Your post asserts its own falsity.

I haven't claimed there was anything ailing the market. How could the public and institutions be blamed for mythical ailments? I have suggested the public brings upon itself destruction from greed.

So where are we? To the point where it is necessary to invent myths in order to rationalize loss? That point is continually being reached.


Let me remind me of some things from you earlier messages

Livermore was well-known before the crash as a top operator. He had made $250,000 in 1906 by being short when the San Francisco earthquake hit. He was short only because the market had told him that certain stocks were weak. It was only providential that he happened to be short and not long. It was this event and not his fame as the "boy plunger" that launched his career as a stock market operator. Nonetheless, it was the public that learned about his short position gains and then assumed that whenever a stock plunged, it was due to a Livermore manipulation. The consequence of this unwanted visibility was that he, Willie Durant, and other operators were blamed for "pushing" the market down and causing the crash. The public never blames the true culprit: unbridled greed of the wild-eyed public.

The result was the public shot itself in the foot by passing a large body of laws which had the intent of protecting the public from itself. Those laws were constructive, but they were also destructive so that recently in an attempt to undo the bad, the genie has been let out of the bottle.

The problem isn't the MMs or anything else the public imagines, the problem is that the public believes trading has a positive expected return. This view has been reinforced to such an extent by recent stock market action that an astounding large percentage of the public is whirlin' 'em. Most of them are going to lose every cent. When the stock market has busted the public without any crash or other apocalyptic event, the public is going to shoot itself in the foot again. They will pass laws that will stymie individual trading. At that time you don't want to have visibility like Livermore did so that the public pillories you and makes you the whipping boy for the grievous sin of having taken their money away from them.


I could quote much more, but anyone who wants to can go back and read your messages for themselves. Your reference to conditions of the past, and conditions yet to come suggesting misguided constraints imposed on the market by the public for its self protection are plain enough to see. My use of the phrase "ails the market" to summarize your various references may not be absolutely precise, but that hardly proves false my subsequent statements. Perhaps you would enlighten us by providing the phrase that best summarizes the flavor of your comments.

What evidence can anyone produce that they were "ripped off"? How do they define "ripped off"? Not having got what they deserved? Almost always they have gotten more than they deserved because the members would prefer to avoid confronting false allegations since the press turns any such confrontation into a circus.

Dip into your storehouse of knowledge and avail yourself of the records regarding one Duke & Company. Look at the charges to which the principals of that firm plead guilty after being closed down by the SEC. Accept my testimony that on one fine day in April 1998 as I sat in a courtroom as a juror, doing my civic duty, having given full authority to my broker to exit any positions that he had previously led me into and told me I was too ignorant to decide to stop out of, came out of court with my account decimated, only to be asked by this broker, "What was I supposed to do?" Then come back here and accuse me again of being an ignorant crybaby making silly comments. You don't know me. You don't know my experience with "the market." You have about as directly as one can without using the word called me a liar, or at best too stupid to know the difference between being victimized by dishonest people and falling under the weight of my own greed, without having any basis for judging my character. You are being far to presumptuous and arrogant in discounting my response to your messages. Your inflammatory comments are insulting (obviously intended) and entirely inappropriate.

Tell me why the SEC thinks the most important tool they have to protect the public is to educate it about the techniques used by unscrupulous professionals and scammers to lure you into giving them control of your money by promising to protect your interests, and then bullying you into doing what they want every time have an opinion. Could it be because the SEC knows there are far more violations of the rules than they can ever police? I plead guilty to believing that SEC regulation somehow protected me from the machine, and to being trusting of other human beings who falsely represented themselves as putting my best interest first. So I guess I deserved to all lose all my money. I should just go away and silently pick up the pieces with all the public patzers, because it was my own greed that led to my downfall.

I didn't take anybody to court. Somewhere there is one or more class action suits to which I am a party by default, but that was not my response. Instead I decided to learn about the market making machinery long before any condescending recommendations from you, and make my own way.

You suggest the MMs are greedy. I am telling you that greed is intrinsic to all humans. I am telling you that the machinery is such that any attempt by any of them to benefit in some unknown way from their greed causes their expected return to fall. The method has to be unknown since under the circumstances it is not conceivable how any MM could avail themselves by violating the rules. You need to observe the trading room of an MM firm and then you can tell me how you would beat the system.

The answer is simple my friend. Because the market is run by people, and those people share the same maesure of greed as the public at large. Some of them let their greed guide their actions, and they think they can get away with it because often they do. If what you assert is true, that there is no gain in violating the rules, then why do we have systems implemented to watch the establishment for violations? You yourself somewhere said the MMs back away. It's against the rules. Why would they do that? Perhaps just because it's one thing they know you have a hard time pinning on them, and they do it for a lark. Who knows? The more serious accusations of collusion may never have been proven, but the charge is taken seriously because there is an obvious monetary gain awaiting those who would perpetrate such a practice, and get away with it.

You argue that nobody would break the rules because they might wind up in jail. Right, nobbody goes to jail because they all choose not to do something that might put them there.

You suggest the MMs are greedy. I am telling you that greed is intrinsic to all humans.

I never said they were more greedy than anyone else, only that they were not less so. We are agreed on this point as you have just stated it.

Just what privilege do you think an MM or other market pro has? I will tell you they have no advantage and when opportunity knocks, just like the public, they run away. The only advantage a market pro has is they don't have a janitorial job and so don't get paid as little. They get paid by doing what they're told by you, by other pros, by officials, by the market.

In your reply to the Knight article you went point by point through it telling us why the MM would not abuse the advantage he obviously has regarding knowledge of order flow, etc. There are rules established to prevent MMs from "unfairly" exploiting that advantage. The rules themselves acknowledge the existence of the advantage. Let that speak for itself.

Dan